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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4PM ET
Resolved Up. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
12
Down 100%
Total Value
$1.4K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
12 of 12 top traders (100%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x85d2ce09...6f8aaf
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-20-2026-4pm-et