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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1PM ET
Resolved Up. 57.142857142857146% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
15
Down 57.142857142857146%
Total Value
$279.27
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
9 of 15 top traders (57.142857142857146%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xaaa16f85...61dcb2
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-20-2026-1pm-et