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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12PM ET
Resolved Down. 77.67140899737876% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
10
Up 77.67140899737876%
Total Value
$1.2K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
8 of 10 top traders (77.67140899737876%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8ab2a776...538266
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-18-2026-12pm-et