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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11AM ET
Resolved Up. 76.39545947740412% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
14
Down 76.39545947740412%
Total Value
$210.06
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
11 of 14 top traders (76.39545947740412%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x82c1c968...1b03c7
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-18-2026-11am-et