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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2AM ET
Resolved Up. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 100%
Total Value
$2.9K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
5 of 5 top traders (100%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x93b60435...3987d3
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-12-2026-2am-et