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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
Down 50%
Total Value
$2.5K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 8 top traders (50%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x46d91743...9abb0d
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-november-4-2026-9pm-et