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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11PM ET
Resolved Down. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Up 88%
Total Value
$4.4K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
7 of 8 top traders (88%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x00e7939b...31787b
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-november-4-2026-11pm-et