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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5AM ET
Resolved Up. 47% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
17
Down 47%
Total Value
$3.0K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
8 of 17 top traders (47%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x61f7798a...f058d8
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-november-3-2026-5am-et