Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$140.71
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0xd2be259c...cae8f8
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-november-3-2026-2am-et