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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1PM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 57%
Total Value
$1.8K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 7 top traders (57%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1765a1da...6a2b5f
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-november-3-2026-1pm-et