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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11AM ET
Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Down 83%
Total Value
$5.0K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
7 of 8 top traders (83%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7d63260a...7cfb47
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-november-3-2026-11am-et