Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2AM ET
Resolved Down. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Down 73%
$3.8K
-$6.38
Smart Money Signal
8 of 11 top traders (73%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 75.3¢ | $1.3K | $1.4K | +$114.2 | 67% 99883-48274 (148157) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 86¢ | $1.3K | $1.4K | +$107.54 | 64% 58791-33369 (92160) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 92.3¢ | $349.02 | $290.07 | -$58.95 | 55% 50821-41402 (92223) |
BO bosona | Downavg 94¢ | $216.36 | $230.17 | +$13.81 | 55% 50077-40263 (90340) |
RA rabadabadoo | Downavg 93.3¢ | $1.0K | $214.89 | -$13.79 | 59% 22778-16144 (38922) |
AL almach | Downavg 92.4¢ | $179.91 | $194.71 | +$14.8 | 55% 48764-40306 (89070) |
AN Anon455<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $58.04 | $66.71 | +$8.67 | 55% 3002-2434 (5436) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 59.6¢ | $32.4 | $46.33 | +$13.24 | 51% 8262-7792 (16054) |
LO Loser12CTR<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | $60 | — | -$60 | 50% 10-10 (20) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Upavg 43.4¢ | $142.6 | — | -$142.6 | 58% 38368-27482 (65850) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 6¢ | $3.3 | — | -$3.3 | 51% 20335-19419 (39754) |
Invested
$1,296.98
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$114.2
Record
67%
99883-48274 (148157)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$1,262.75
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$107.54
Record
64%
58791-33369 (92160)
Invested
$349.02
Value
$290.07
PnL
-$58.95
Record
55%
50821-41402 (92223)
Invested
$216.36
Value
$230.17
PnL
+$13.81
Record
55%
50077-40263 (90340)
Invested
$1,036.4
Value
$214.89
PnL
-$13.79
Record
59%
22778-16144 (38922)
Invested
$179.91
Value
$194.71
PnL
+$14.8
Record
55%
48764-40306 (89070)
Invested
$58.04
Value
$66.71
PnL
+$8.67
Record
55%
3002-2434 (5436)
Invested
$32.4
Value
$46.33
PnL
+$13.24
Record
51%
8262-7792 (16054)
Invested
$60
Value
—
PnL
-$60
Record
50%
10-10 (20)
Invested
$142.6
Value
—
PnL
-$142.6
Record
58%
38368-27482 (65850)
Invested
$3.3
Value
—
PnL
-$3.3
Record
51%
20335-19419 (39754)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $1.4K
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $1.4K
mo-money
Down — $290.07
bosona
Down — $230.17
rabadabadoo
Down — $214.89
almach
Down — $194.71
Anon455
Down — $66.71
ply-pm2
Down — $46.33
Loser12
CTRUp — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0