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YesNoYes
balthazarCTR<$100Yes
cryingbabydicer87<$100NoNoYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 8?
Resolved No. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 50%
Total Value
$1.1K
Combined PnL
-$70.73
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,490
Combined PnL-$326.54
No3 traders
Total Value$1.1K
Total Shares1,060
Combined PnL+$255.81
Yes — 63%No — 37%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452CTR | Yesavg 60.3¢ | $8.8K | — | -$270.84 | 69% 5021-2239 (7260) |
SS ssddssd | Noavg 78.4¢ | $790.76 | $1.0K | +$218.03 | 53% 383-339 (722) |
19 196874353278CTR | Yesavg 44.1¢ | $329.89 | — | -$37.85 | 40% 466-700 (1166) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yesavg 45.6¢ | $40 | — | -$18.24 | 30% 35254-83610 (118864) |
cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Noavg 39.2¢ | $8.11 | $47.94 | +$33.68 | 51% 14645-13972 (28617) |
E4 e46m3<$100 | Noavg 39.8¢ | $12.39 | $3.43 | +$4.1 | 62% 35806-22243 (58049) |
0X 0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7CTR<$100 | Yesavg 41.1¢ | $2.13 | — | +$0.39 | 33% 1251-2563 (3814) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 95.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 21107-45346 (66453) |
0X
0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452CTRInvested
$8,760.67
Value
—
PnL
-$270.84
Record
69%
5021-2239 (7260)
SS
ssddssdInvested
$790.76
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$218.03
Record
53%
383-339 (722)
19
196874353278CTRInvested
$329.89
Value
—
PnL
-$37.85
Record
40%
466-700 (1166)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
$40
Value
—
PnL
-$18.24
Record
30%
35254-83610 (118864)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$8.11
Value
$47.94
PnL
+$33.68
Record
51%
14645-13972 (28617)
E4
e46m3<$100Invested
$12.39
Value
$3.43
PnL
+$4.1
Record
62%
35806-22243 (58049)
0X
0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7CTR<$100Invested
$2.13
Value
—
PnL
+$0.39
Record
33%
1251-2563 (3814)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
21107-45346 (66453)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xcc143583...fc15f7
Slug
bitcoin-above-76k-on-november-8-2026