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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

Resolved Yes. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

No 100%

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

-$282.41

Smart Money Signal

No

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%

No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares718

Combined PnL-$282.41

Yes5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares0

Combined PnL+$0

No — 50%Yes — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR	Noavg 41.9¢	$399.08	—	-$282.41	36% 14865-26983 (41848)
0X 0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758<$100	Yes	—	—	+$0	41% 43-62 (105)
PE peepeepooppoop<$100	Yesavg 56¢	—	—	+$0	52% 2019-1846 (3865)
BI BikesAreTheBikes<$100	Yesavg 28.5¢	—	—	+$0	39% 1759-2790 (4549)
HE HerrieDavis<$100	Yesavg 29.7¢	—	—	+$0	36% 2027-3623 (5650)
EL Elias.ThornwellCTR<$100	Noavg 68.5¢	—	—	+$0	77% 11134-3396 (14530)
FI firegoldCTR<$100	Noavg 69.5¢	—	—	+$0	59% 306-212 (518)
perfectnostalgia<$100	Yesavg 53.9¢	—	—	+$0	55% 333-270 (603)
SI simplemanCTR<$100	Noavg 52.5¢	—	—	+$0	47% 452-514 (966)
LE LetTheGoodTimesRollCTR<$100	Noavg 56.5¢	—	—	+$0	45% 3574-4339 (7913)

xtxpleasecallmeCTR

Invested

$399.08

Value

—

PnL

-$282.41

Record

36%

14865-26983 (41848)

0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

41%

43-62 (105)

peepeepooppoop<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

2019-1846 (3865)

BikesAreTheBikes<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

39%

1759-2790 (4549)

HerrieDavis<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

36%

2027-3623 (5650)

Elias.ThornwellCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

77%

11134-3396 (14530)

firegoldCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

59%

306-212 (518)

perfectnostalgia<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

55%

333-270 (603)

simplemanCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

47%

452-514 (966)

LetTheGoodTimesRollCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

45%

3574-4339 (7913)

Smart Money Signal

No

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x22679bf6...7b7c14

Slug

bank-of-canada-rate-hike-in-2026

Traders in this Market

xtxpleasecallme

No — $0

0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758

Yes — $0

peepeepooppoop

Yes — $0

BikesAreTheBikes

Yes — $0

HerrieDavis

Yes — $0

Elias.Thornwell

No — $0

firegold

No — $0

perfectnostalgia

Yes — $0

simpleman

No — $0

LetTheGoodTimesRoll

No — $0

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