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shineforeverYes
tradecraft<$100YesYesNoNoNoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Energetik Mingechevir vs. Shahdag Qusar FK end in a draw?
Resolved Yes. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 50%
Total Value
$411.67
Combined PnL
-$17.58
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 7 top traders (43%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$411.67
Total Shares412
Combined PnL+$12.21
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares530
Combined PnL-$29.79
Yes — 43%No — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
shineforever | Yesavg 99¢ | $396.2 | $400 | +$3.8 | 57% 91-68 (159) |
tradecraft<$100 | Yesavg 4¢ | $0.25 | $6.17 | +$5.78 | 51% 6508-6273 (12781) |
RO roscoff<$100 | Yesavg 50¢ | $2.75 | $5.5 | +$2.62 | 50% 174-172 (346) |
CA canupdatelateronCTR<$100 | Noavg 1.2¢ | $6 | — | -$6 | 67% 551-272 (823) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Noavg 93.8¢ | $23.08 | — | -$21.53 | 51% 26991-25572 (52563) |
0X 0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000CTR<$100 | Noavg 51.3¢ | $2.26 | — | -$2.26 | 42% 2466-3372 (5838) |
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100 | No | — | — | +$0 | 25% 513-1539 (2052) |
shineforeverInvested
$396.2
Value
$400
PnL
+$3.8
Record
57%
91-68 (159)
tradecraft<$100Invested
$0.25
Value
$6.17
PnL
+$5.78
Record
51%
6508-6273 (12781)
RO
roscoff<$100Invested
$2.75
Value
$5.5
PnL
+$2.62
Record
50%
174-172 (346)
CA
canupdatelateronCTR<$100Invested
$6
Value
—
PnL
-$6
Record
67%
551-272 (823)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$23.08
Value
—
PnL
-$21.53
Record
51%
26991-25572 (52563)
0X
0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000CTR<$100Invested
$2.26
Value
—
PnL
-$2.26
Record
42%
2466-3372 (5838)
0X
0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
25%
513-1539 (2052)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc1425f97...08d053
Slug
aze2-emi-sha-2026-11-04-draw