Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Martin Krumich — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Martin Krumich
Orleans: Cyril Vandermeersch vs Martin Krumich
Resolved Martin Krumich. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Martin Krumich. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Martin Krumich 75%
2 arb excluded
$8.8K
-$891.71
Smart Money Signal
12 of 16 top traders (75%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Martin Krumichavg 79.7¢ | $4.7K | $3.1K | +$137.34 | 51% 46870-44196 (91066) |
OM omnibus-076daa | Martin Krumichavg 71.3¢ | $1.5K | $1.8K | +$362.91 | 50% 23433-23429 (46862) |
 RN1 | Martin Krumichavg 56.2¢ | $1.6K | $1.1K | +$231.41 | 53% 70164-61737 (131901) |
LI LimousinARB<$100 | Cyril Vandermeerschavg 22¢ | $2.7K | $249.52 | -$476.12 | 49% 2102-2190 (4292) |
| └ Cyril Vandermeersch leg | Cyril Vandermeerschavg 22¢ | $536.65 | — | -$536.89 | |
| └ Martin Krumich leg | Martin Krumichavg 75.6¢ | $188.73 | $249.52 | +$60.77 | |
MA MadridTimeARB<$100 | Cyril Vandermeerschavg 12¢ | $2.7K | $247.26 | -$178.88 | 48% 2032-2230 (4262) |
| └ Cyril Vandermeersch leg | Cyril Vandermeerschavg 12¢ | $299.46 | — | -$299.71 | |
| └ Martin Krumich leg | Martin Krumichavg 51.1¢ | $126.42 | $247.26 | +$120.83 | |
 machinelearned | Martin Krumichavg 66.5¢ | $1.1K | $483.46 | +$23.45 | 54% 10221-8698 (18919) |
LI LightParadoxCTR | Cyril Vandermeerschavg 26.4¢ | $3.8K | — | -$998.99 | 48% 2039-2213 (4252) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846 | Martin Krumichavg 76.9¢ | $521.28 | $521.28 | +$120.28 | 56% 39445-31086 (70531) |
PA Paul973973 | Martin Krumichavg 79¢ | $400 | $506.33 | +$106.33 | 89% 1104-142 (1246) |
FE ferrariChampions2026CTR | Cyril Vandermeerschavg 26.6¢ | $4.7K | — | -$691.8 | 46% 33216-38836 (72052) |
EU Eulhunter | Martin Krumichavg 65.5¢ | $302.19 | $280.61 | -$21.58 | 53% 6776-5929 (12705) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR | Cyril Vandermeerschavg 20¢ | $1.6K | — | -$317.49 | 46% 1957-2309 (4266) |
 0xheavy888 | Martin Krumichavg 79¢ | $139.38 | $176.43 | +$37.05 | 56% 8592-6809 (15401) |
0X 0x1ba747eaed3e0e798922523dbed29693bcf767a1 | Martin Krumichavg 50¢ | $78.13 | $156.25 | +$78.13 | 46% 941-1110 (2051) |
VE Venusian | Martin Krumichavg 75.9¢ | $115.47 | $115.47 | +$27.86 | 48% 2079-2257 (4336) |
 VeryLucky888<$100 | Martin Krumichavg 79¢ | $75 | $75 | +$15.75 | 59% 52299-37045 (89344) |
TH thestingsnake<$100 | Martin Krumichavg 72¢ | $81.57 | $6.06 | -$1.66 | 60% 4593-3091 (7684) |
SC SchruteBucksCTR | Cyril Vandermeerschavg 10.1¢ | $155 | — | -$0.71 | 56% 1967-1522 (3489) |
Invested
$4,686.48
Value
$3.1K
PnL
+$137.34
Record
51%
46870-44196 (91066)
Invested
$1,465.87
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$362.91
Record
50%
23433-23429 (46862)
RN1Invested
$1,564.44
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$231.41
Record
53%
70164-61737 (131901)
Invested
$2,689.95
Value
$249.52
PnL
-$476.12
Record
49%
2102-2190 (4292)
Both legs:
Invested
$2,744.84
Value
$247.26
PnL
-$178.88
Record
48%
2032-2230 (4262)
Both legs:
machinelearnedInvested
$1,119.8
Value
$483.46
PnL
+$23.45
Record
54%
10221-8698 (18919)
Invested
$3,790.49
Value
—
PnL
-$998.99
Record
48%
2039-2213 (4252)
Invested
$521.28
Value
$521.28
PnL
+$120.28
Record
56%
39445-31086 (70531)
Invested
$400
Value
$506.33
PnL
+$106.33
Record
89%
1104-142 (1246)
Invested
$4,738.9
Value
—
PnL
-$691.8
Record
46%
33216-38836 (72052)
Invested
$302.19
Value
$280.61
PnL
-$21.58
Record
53%
6776-5929 (12705)
Invested
$1,587.45
Value
—
PnL
-$317.49
Record
46%
1957-2309 (4266)
0xheavy888Invested
$139.38
Value
$176.43
PnL
+$37.05
Record
56%
8592-6809 (15401)
Invested
$78.13
Value
$156.25
PnL
+$78.13
Record
46%
941-1110 (2051)
Invested
$115.47
Value
$115.47
PnL
+$27.86
Record
48%
2079-2257 (4336)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$75
Value
$75
PnL
+$15.75
Record
59%
52299-37045 (89344)
Invested
$81.57
Value
$6.06
PnL
-$1.66
Record
60%
4593-3091 (7684)
Invested
$155
Value
—
PnL
-$0.71
Record
56%
1967-1522 (3489)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
Martin Krumich — $3.1K
omnibus-076daa
Martin Krumich — $1.8K
RN1
Martin Krumich — $1.1K
Limousin
ARBArbitrage — excluded
MadridTime
ARBArbitrage — excluded
machinelearned
Martin Krumich — $483.46
LightParadox
CTRCyril Vandermeersch — $0
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
Martin Krumich — $521.28
Paul973973
Martin Krumich — $506.33
ferrariChampions2026
CTRCyril Vandermeersch — $0