Back to Markets
YesYes
4751346Yes
probability<$100YesYesNoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Paris, France?
Resolved Yes. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 100%
Total Value
$1.6K
Combined PnL
$216.65
Smart Money Signal
Yes
6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes6 traders
Total Value$1.6K
Total Shares1,559
Combined PnL+$216.65
No1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 86%No — 14%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PV pvc975 | Yesavg 99.9¢ | $753.07 | $753.82 | +$0.75 | 98% 20123-398 (20521) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271 | Yesavg 77.3¢ | $376.69 | $358.94 | +$63.67 | 23% 8517-28944 (37461) |
4751346 | Yesavg 65¢ | $260 | $400 | +$140 | 72% 1380-536 (1916) |
probability<$100 | Yesavg 64¢ | $21.74 | $25 | +$3.26 | 38% 1794-2925 (4719) |
VE Vetch<$100 | Yesavg 57¢ | $11.87 | $20.83 | +$8.96 | 60% 403-270 (673) |
ME merodCTR<$100 | Noavg 25.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 29% 3568-8668 (12236) |
EL Elias.Thornwell<$100 | Yesavg 43.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 73% 13526-5008 (18534) |
PV
pvc975Invested
$753.07
Value
$753.82
PnL
+$0.75
Record
98%
20123-398 (20521)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Invested
$376.69
Value
$358.94
PnL
+$63.67
Record
23%
8517-28944 (37461)
4751346Invested
$260
Value
$400
PnL
+$140
Record
72%
1380-536 (1916)
probability<$100Invested
$21.74
Value
$25
PnL
+$3.26
Record
38%
1794-2925 (4719)
VE
Vetch<$100Invested
$11.87
Value
$20.83
PnL
+$8.96
Record
60%
403-270 (673)
ME
merodCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
29%
3568-8668 (12236)
EL
Elias.Thornwell<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
73%
13526-5008 (18534)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x2e1955ee...563864
Slug
atp-tournament-winner-2026-135039-competitor-407573