Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Jake Delaney — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Jake Delaney

Taipei: Keegan Smith vs Jake Delaney

Resolved Jake Delaney. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held Jake Delaney. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Jake Delaney 77%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$37.3K

Combined PnL

$2.7K

Smart Money Signal

Jake Delaney

20 of 26 top traders (77%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Keegan Smith0%

Jake Delaney100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Jake Delaney20 traders

Total Value$31.5K

Total Shares31,497

Combined PnL+$4.0K

Keegan Smith6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,168

Combined PnL$-1.3K

Jake Delaney — 77%Keegan Smith — 23%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
CA CandleHammerDrums	Jake Delaneyavg 55.3¢	$4.8K	$6.1K	+$1.4K	52% 6653-6165 (12818)
NO NotJump	Jake Delaneyavg 54.9¢	$4.6K	$5.5K	+$830.73	43% 9965-12961 (22926)
LI LimousinARB<$100	Keegan Smithavg 45.7¢	$5.8K	$4.1K	$-1.7K	54% 665-560 (1225)
└ Jake Delaney leg	Jake Delaneyavg 44.4¢	$1.8K	$4.1K	+$2.3K
└ Keegan Smith leg	Keegan Smithavg 45.7¢	$4.0K	—	$-4.0K
65 6512395314597884	Jake Delaneyavg 44.8¢	$2.3K	$4.2K	+$1.9K	51% 4317-4189 (8506)
FL Flaznorp	Jake Delaneyavg 81.4¢	$4.4K	$3.2K	$-1.1K	51% 22704-21519 (44223)
88M	Jake Delaneyavg 25¢	$1.1K	$3.0K	-$452.08	42% 803-1100 (1903)
TH thestingsnake	Jake Delaneyavg 62.8¢	$3.3K	$2.9K	+$395.47	60% 4189-2803 (6992)
VE VenusianARB<$100	Keegan Smithavg 74¢	$5.3K	$1.7K	$-2.3K	53% 646-576 (1222)
└ Jake Delaney leg	Jake Delaneyavg 34.5¢	$590	$1.7K	+$1.1K
└ Keegan Smith leg	Keegan Smithavg 74¢	$3.5K	—	$-3.5K
LI LightParadox	Jake Delaneyavg 78.9¢	$2.1K	$1.8K	-$307.73	53% 661-577 (1238)
38 38791873984189	Jake Delaneyavg 67.5¢	$2.6K	$1.8K	+$549.08	47% 13896-15374 (29270)
RN1	Jake Delaneyavg 55.4¢	$875.3	$1.6K	+$704.27	54% 58646-50907 (109553)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846	Jake Delaneyavg 83.7¢	$314.64	$375.79	+$61.15	59% 31157-21843 (53000)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	Jake Delaneyavg 77.3¢	$251.46	$272.5	+$21.04	52% 14078-12841 (26919)
TRCM	Jake Delaneyavg 83¢	$227.85	$274.52	+$46.67	55% 3989-3219 (7208)
0X 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816CTR	Keegan Smithavg 72¢	$964.8	—	-$964.8	50% 502-496 (998)
BI BillBenter2026	Jake Delaneyavg 74¢	$173	$129	-$10.42	57% 18913-13992 (32905)
HRTrading	Jake Delaneyavg 78.9¢	$111.92	$81.48	-$30.43	51% 7016-6771 (13787)
EU Eulhunter<$100	Jake Delaneyavg 85.8¢	$77.04	$84	+$11.31	54% 6027-5033 (11060)
NA NatoAlfista<$100	Jake Delaneyavg 32¢	$25.68	$80.25	+$54.57	50% 4051-4025 (8076)
FE ferdinand2<$100	Jake Delaneyavg 78.4¢	$69.92	$70.79	+$0.87	48% 5768-6225 (11993)
poshposh<$100	Jake Delaneyavg 68.5¢	$57.14	$60.67	+$3.53	57% 11685-8789 (20474)
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100	Keegan Smithavg 18.9¢	$77.15	—	-$77.15	47% 10361-11563 (21924)
VeryLucky888CTR	Keegan Smithavg 74¢	$207.2	—	-$168.61	58% 44185-32138 (76323)
SM smithagent<$100	Jake Delaneyavg 87.1¢	$11.57	$13.28	+$1.71	48% 5193-5556 (10749)
CI cigarettesCTR<$100	Keegan Smithavg 19¢	$19	—	-$19	54% 21790-18840 (40630)

CandleHammerDrums

Jake Delaney

Invested

$4,756.99

Value

$6.1K

PnL

+$1.4K

Record

52%

6653-6165 (12818)

NotJump

Jake Delaney

Invested

$4,646.21

Value

$5.5K

PnL

+$830.73

Record

43%

9965-12961 (22926)

LimousinARB<$100

Keegan Smith

Invested

$5,777.66

Value

$4.1K

PnL

$-1.7K

Record

54%

665-560 (1225)

Both legs:

Jake Delaney$1,825.2744.4¢+$2.3K

Keegan Smith$3,952.3945.7¢$-4.0K

6512395314597884

Jake Delaney

Invested

$2,289.85

Value

$4.2K

PnL

+$1.9K

Record

51%

4317-4189 (8506)

Flaznorp

Jake Delaney

Invested

$4,366.62

Value

$3.2K

PnL

$-1.1K

Record

51%

22704-21519 (44223)

88M

Jake Delaney

Invested

$1,105.35

Value

$3.0K

PnL

-$452.08

Record

42%

803-1100 (1903)

thestingsnake

Jake Delaney

Invested

$3,340.01

Value

$2.9K

PnL

+$395.47

Record

60%

4189-2803 (6992)

VenusianARB<$100

Keegan Smith

Invested

$5,270.4

Value

$1.7K

PnL

$-2.3K

Record

53%

646-576 (1222)

Both legs:

Jake Delaney$59034.5¢+$1.1K

Keegan Smith$3,463.4974¢$-3.5K

LightParadox

Jake Delaney

Invested

$2,071.05

Value

$1.8K

PnL

-$307.73

Record

53%

661-577 (1238)

38791873984189

Jake Delaney

Invested

$2,630.74

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$549.08

Record

47%

13896-15374 (29270)

RN1

Jake Delaney

Invested

$875.3

Value

$1.6K

PnL

+$704.27

Record

54%

58646-50907 (109553)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846

Jake Delaney

Invested

$314.64

Value

$375.79

PnL

+$61.15

Record

59%

31157-21843 (53000)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

Jake Delaney

Invested

$251.46

Value

$272.5

PnL

+$21.04

Record

52%

14078-12841 (26919)

TRCM

Jake Delaney

Invested

$227.85

Value

$274.52

PnL

+$46.67

Record

55%

3989-3219 (7208)

0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816CTR

Keegan Smith

Invested

$964.8

Value

—

PnL

-$964.8

Record

50%

502-496 (998)

BillBenter2026

Jake Delaney

Invested

$173

Value

$129

PnL

-$10.42

Record

57%

18913-13992 (32905)

HRTrading

Jake Delaney

Invested

$111.92

Value

$81.48

PnL

-$30.43

Record

51%

7016-6771 (13787)

Eulhunter<$100

Jake Delaney

Invested

$77.04

Value

$84

PnL

+$11.31

Record

54%

6027-5033 (11060)

NatoAlfista<$100

Jake Delaney

Invested

$25.68

Value

$80.25

PnL

+$54.57

Record

50%

4051-4025 (8076)

ferdinand2<$100

Jake Delaney

Invested

$69.92

Value

$70.79

PnL

+$0.87

Record

48%

5768-6225 (11993)

poshposh<$100

Jake Delaney

Invested

$57.14

Value

$60.67

PnL

+$3.53

Record

57%

11685-8789 (20474)

topdogbigboiCTR<$100

Keegan Smith

Invested

$77.15

Value

—

PnL

-$77.15

Record

47%

10361-11563 (21924)

VeryLucky888CTR

Keegan Smith

Invested

$207.2

Value

—

PnL

-$168.61

Record

58%

44185-32138 (76323)

smithagent<$100

Jake Delaney

Invested

$11.57

Value

$13.28

PnL

+$1.71

Record

48%

5193-5556 (10749)

cigarettesCTR<$100

Keegan Smith

Invested

$19

Value

—

PnL

-$19

Record

54%

21790-18840 (40630)

Smart Money Signal

Jake Delaney

20 of 26 top traders (77%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x747e1780...6370d5

Slug

atp-smit-delaney-2026-11-02

Traders in this Market

CandleHammerDrums

Jake Delaney — $6.1K

+$1.4K

NotJump

Jake Delaney — $5.5K

+$830.73

Limousin

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

$-1.7K

6512395314597884

Jake Delaney — $4.2K

+$1.9K

Flaznorp

Jake Delaney — $3.2K

$-1.1K

88M

Jake Delaney — $3.0K

-$452.08

thestingsnake

Jake Delaney — $2.9K

+$395.47

Venusian

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

$-2.3K

LightParadox

Jake Delaney — $1.8K

-$307.73

38791873984189

Jake Delaney — $1.8K

+$549.08

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