Resolution Proposed

A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.

Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat

21 of 30 top Polymarket traders hold Jan Kumstat (70%) · Jan Kumstat at 100¢ · $48K held · awaiting resolution

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Pending

Consensus Traders

Jan Kumstat 70%

Total Value

$47.9K

Combined PnL

$22.4K

Smart Money Signal

Jan Kumstat

21 of 30 top traders (70%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Joel Schwaerzler0%

Jan Kumstat100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Jan Kumstat21 traders

Total Value$47.4K

Total Shares47,389

Combined PnL+$16.7K

Joel Schwaerzler9 traders

Total Value$500.77

Total Shares51,467

Combined PnL+$5.7K

Jan Kumstat — 70%Joel Schwaerzler — 30%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
RN1	Jan Kumstatavg 57.5¢	$11.4K	$19.9K	+$8.4K	54% 58127-50358 (108485)
CA CandleHammerDrums	Jan Kumstatavg 61.5¢	$5.2K	$7.7K	+$2.6K	52% 5702-5267 (10969)
0X 0xf12f7688A0bC8Cc744eF871f70B74c16a976b30f-1779780453239	Jan Kumstatavg 49¢	$3.3K	$6.7K	+$1.0K	38% 512-818 (1330)
38 38791873984189	Jan Kumstatavg 54.8¢	$4.1K	$2.8K	+$1.4K	47% 13002-14566 (27568)
FL Flaznorp	Jan Kumstatavg 60.1¢	$3.1K	$2.2K	+$541.01	51% 17613-16616 (34229)
TH thestingsnake	Jan Kumstatavg 49.4¢	$1.8K	$1.7K	+$851.05	60% 4149-2784 (6933)
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080	Jan Kumstatavg 64.8¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	+$533.94	51% 1592-1534 (3126)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh	Jan Kumstatavg 41.2¢	$980.54	$1.3K	+$622.83	48% 1151-1263 (2414)
CoinTrick	Jan Kumstatavg 99.9¢	$809.65	$809.65	-$0	98% 3850-94 (3944)
EU Eulhunter	Jan Kumstatavg 53.8¢	$305.63	$552.26	-$64.87	54% 5907-4953 (10860)
TRCM	Jan Kumstatavg 37¢	$185	$499.75	+$314.75	55% 3974-3204 (7178)
0X 0xF8164A94e27CdCeD0cC975e21308fB099B2D0433-1772692168144CTR	Joel Schwaerzleravg 39.5¢	$19.0K	$480.85	+$7.2K	38% 163-262 (425)
1L 1lovejump	Jan Kumstatavg 55¢	$766.47	$321.76	+$11.32	53% 678-606 (1284)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	Jan Kumstatavg 63¢	$323.01	$310.54	-$12.47	52% 14029-12787 (26816)
poshposh	Jan Kumstatavg 61.3¢	$190.31	$310.28	+$119.97	58% 11432-8282 (19714)
NO NotJump	Jan Kumstatavg 55.6¢	$140.81	$251.38	+$110.57	43% 7731-10455 (18186)
tradecraft	Jan Kumstatavg 65¢	$249.99	$249.87	+$87.37	51% 6153-5872 (12025)
TO topdogbigboi	Jan Kumstatavg 43.1¢	$65.37	$124.66	+$58.4	47% 10054-11163 (21217)
LR lryyy	Jan Kumstatavg 61.6¢	$76.56	$110.77	+$34.21	46% 7932-9255 (17187)
0xheavy888<$100	Jan Kumstatavg 49¢	$19.35	$39.47	+$20.12	56% 7461-5982 (13443)
HRTrading<$100	Jan Kumstatavg 81.3¢	$9.85	$10.82	+$0.97	53% 6371-5759 (12130)
FE ferdinand2<$100	Jan Kumstatavg 73¢	$15	$10	+$2.7	51% 997-961 (1958)
SE sentrioCTR	Joel Schwaerzleravg 64¢	$446.67	$6.98	-$439.69	50% 25000-24720 (49720)
0X 0x84e01e855165C5d56DE153c96DCC3B9bCe727F3D-1782704499041CTR	Joel Schwaerzleravg 64¢	$172.86	$5.86	-$167	57% 230-176 (406)
0X 0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382CTR	Joel Schwaerzleravg 50.8¢	$23.55	$2.53	-$21.02	46% 9226-10935 (20161)

RN1

Jan Kumstat

Invested

$11,430.11

Value

$19.9K

PnL

+$8.4K

Record

54%

58127-50358 (108485)

CandleHammerDrums

Jan Kumstat

Invested

$5,182.85

Value

$7.7K

PnL

+$2.6K

Record

52%

5702-5267 (10969)

0xf12f7688A0bC8Cc744eF871f70B74c16a976b30f-1779780453239

Jan Kumstat

Invested

$3,298

Value

$6.7K

PnL

+$1.0K

Record

38%

512-818 (1330)

38791873984189

Jan Kumstat

Invested

$4,122.63

Value

$2.8K

PnL

+$1.4K

Record

47%

13002-14566 (27568)

Flaznorp

Jan Kumstat

Invested

$3,140.6

Value

$2.2K

PnL

+$541.01

Record

51%

17613-16616 (34229)

thestingsnake

Jan Kumstat

Invested

$1,836.5

Value

$1.7K

PnL

+$851.05

Record

60%

4149-2784 (6933)

0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080

Jan Kumstat

Invested

$1,520

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$533.94

Record

51%

1592-1534 (3126)

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Jan Kumstat

Invested

$980.54

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$622.83

Record

48%

1151-1263 (2414)

CoinTrick

Jan Kumstat

Invested

$809.65

Value

$809.65

PnL

-$0

Record

98%

3850-94 (3944)

Eulhunter

Jan Kumstat

Invested

$305.63

Value

$552.26

PnL

-$64.87

Record

54%

5907-4953 (10860)

TRCM

Jan Kumstat

Invested

$185

Value

$499.75

PnL

+$314.75

Record

55%

3974-3204 (7178)

0xF8164A94e27CdCeD0cC975e21308fB099B2D0433-1772692168144CTR

Joel Schwaerzler

Invested

$19,000

Value

$480.85

PnL

+$7.2K

Record

38%

163-262 (425)

1lovejump

Jan Kumstat

Invested

$766.47

Value

$321.76

PnL

+$11.32

Record

53%

678-606 (1284)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

Jan Kumstat

Invested

$323.01

Value

$310.54

PnL

-$12.47

Record

52%

14029-12787 (26816)

poshposh

Jan Kumstat

Invested

$190.31

Value

$310.28

PnL

+$119.97

Record

58%

11432-8282 (19714)

NotJump

Jan Kumstat

Invested

$140.81

Value

$251.38

PnL

+$110.57

Record

43%

7731-10455 (18186)

tradecraft

Jan Kumstat

Invested

$249.99

Value

$249.87

PnL

+$87.37

Record

51%

6153-5872 (12025)

topdogbigboi

Jan Kumstat

Invested

$65.37

Value

$124.66

PnL

+$58.4

Record

47%

10054-11163 (21217)

lryyy

Jan Kumstat

Invested

$76.56

Value

$110.77

PnL

+$34.21

Record

46%

7932-9255 (17187)

0xheavy888<$100

Jan Kumstat

Invested

$19.35

Value

$39.47

PnL

+$20.12

Record

56%

7461-5982 (13443)

HRTrading<$100

Jan Kumstat

Invested

$9.85

Value

$10.82

PnL

+$0.97

Record

53%

6371-5759 (12130)

ferdinand2<$100

Jan Kumstat

Invested

$15

Value

$10

PnL

+$2.7

Record

51%

997-961 (1958)

sentrioCTR

Joel Schwaerzler

Invested

$446.67

Value

$6.98

PnL

-$439.69

Record

50%

25000-24720 (49720)

0x84e01e855165C5d56DE153c96DCC3B9bCe727F3D-1782704499041CTR

Joel Schwaerzler

Invested

$172.86

Value

$5.86

PnL

-$167

Record

57%

230-176 (406)

0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382CTR

Joel Schwaerzler

Invested

$23.55

Value

$2.53

PnL

-$21.02

Record

46%

9226-10935 (20161)

Smart Money Signal

Jan Kumstat

21 of 30 top traders (70%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x3877b424...8a370e

Slug

atp-schwaer-kumstat-2026-11-01

Traders in this Market

RN1

Jan Kumstat — $19.9K

+$8.4K

CandleHammerDrums

Jan Kumstat — $7.7K

+$2.6K

0xf12f7688A0bC8Cc744eF871f70B74c16a976b30f-1779780453239

Jan Kumstat — $6.7K

+$1.0K

38791873984189

Jan Kumstat — $2.8K

+$1.4K

Flaznorp

Jan Kumstat — $2.2K

+$541.01

thestingsnake

Jan Kumstat — $1.7K

+$851.05

0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080

Jan Kumstat — $1.5K

+$533.94

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Jan Kumstat — $1.3K

+$622.83

CoinTrick

Jan Kumstat — $809.65

-$0

Eulhunter

Jan Kumstat — $552.26

-$64.87

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