Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yuta Shimizu — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yuta Shimizu
Taipei: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Yuta Shimizu
Resolved Yuta Shimizu. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Yuta Shimizu. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Yuta Shimizu 74%
1 arb excluded
$28.1K
$6.3K
Smart Money Signal
14 of 20 top traders (70%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LI Limousin | Yuta Shimizuavg 58.8¢ | $13.6K | $13.6K | +$5.6K | 55% 764-622 (1386) |
VE Venusian | Yuta Shimizuavg 50.4¢ | $6.0K | $6.0K | +$3.0K | 53% 748-666 (1414) |
NO NotJump | Yuta Shimizuavg 95¢ | $2.4K | $2.4K | -$24.68 | 43% 9981-12987 (22968) |
FL Flaznorp | Yuta Shimizuavg 78.9¢ | $2.0K | $2.0K | +$1 | 51% 23065-21883 (44948) |
CA CandleHammerDrumsCTR | Stefanos Sakellaridisavg 32.3¢ | $1.7K | — | $-1.7K | 52% 6655-6172 (12827) |
LI LightParadox | Yuta Shimizuavg 76¢ | $1.1K | $1.3K | +$293.9 | 54% 766-651 (1417) |
 RN1ARB<$100 | Stefanos Sakellaridisavg 52¢ | $7.2K | $735.16 | $-3.0K | 54% 58718-51015 (109733) |
| └ Yuta Shimizu leg | Yuta Shimizuavg 56¢ | $411.69 | $735.16 | +$323.47 | |
| └ Stefanos Sakellaridis leg | Stefanos Sakellaridisavg 52¢ | $3.3K | — | $-3.3K | |
TH thestingsnake | Yuta Shimizuavg 73¢ | $1.4K | $1.0K | -$68.89 | 60% 4189-2804 (6993) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Stefanos Sakellaridisavg 24.9¢ | $588.83 | — | -$587.23 | 47% 14094-15610 (29704) |
PA Paul973973 | Yuta Shimizuavg 96¢ | $678.57 | $520.83 | -$79.17 | 89% 941-121 (1062) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 | Yuta Shimizuavg 63.2¢ | $175.68 | $165.22 | -$10.45 | 52% 14084-12852 (26936) |
 VeryLucky888 | Yuta Shimizuavg 43¢ | $67.66 | $105.26 | +$60 | 58% 44275-32205 (76480) |
OM omnibus-076daa | Yuta Shimizuavg 40¢ | $88 | $100 | +$12 | 50% 20032-20390 (40422) |
BI BillBenter2026 | Yuta Shimizuavg 81¢ | $107.32 | $88 | -$5.82 | 57% 18920-14004 (32924) |
EU Eulhunter | Yuta Shimizuavg 88.3¢ | $134 | $67 | +$1.79 | 55% 6032-5035 (11067) |
 rayvanmechelen<$100 | Yuta Shimizuavg 38.8¢ | $8.68 | $21.56 | +$12.88 | — |
 0xheavy888CTR<$100 | Stefanos Sakellaridisavg 55.6¢ | $57.41 | — | -$57.41 | 56% 7546-6039 (13585) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Yuta Shimizuavg 43¢ | $2.15 | $5 | +$2.85 | 52% 8374-7652 (16026) |
 HRTradingCTR<$100 | Stefanos Sakellaridisavg 11¢ | $4.62 | — | -$4.62 | 51% 7139-6898 (14037) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Stefanos Sakellaridisavg 11¢ | $18.2 | — | -$2 | 48% 5999-6422 (12421) |
SU suntoriCTR | Stefanos Sakellaridisavg 47.2¢ | $218.01 | — | -$176.48 | 45% 13352-16261 (29613) |
Invested
$13,578.32
Value
$13.6K
PnL
+$5.6K
Record
55%
764-622 (1386)
Invested
$6,012.04
Value
$6.0K
PnL
+$3.0K
Record
53%
748-666 (1414)
Invested
$2,377.18
Value
$2.4K
PnL
-$24.68
Record
43%
9981-12987 (22968)
Invested
$2,010.51
Value
$2.0K
PnL
+$1
Record
51%
23065-21883 (44948)
Invested
$1,665.34
Value
—
PnL
$-1.7K
Record
52%
6655-6172 (12827)
Invested
$1,099.76
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$293.9
Record
54%
766-651 (1417)
RN1ARB<$100Invested
$7,169.21
Value
$735.16
PnL
$-3.0K
Record
54%
58718-51015 (109733)
Both legs:
Invested
$1,393.02
Value
$1.0K
PnL
-$68.89
Record
60%
4189-2804 (6993)
Invested
$588.83
Value
—
PnL
-$587.23
Record
47%
14094-15610 (29704)
Invested
$678.57
Value
$520.83
PnL
-$79.17
Record
89%
941-121 (1062)
Invested
$175.68
Value
$165.22
PnL
-$10.45
Record
52%
14084-12852 (26936)
VeryLucky888Invested
$67.66
Value
$105.26
PnL
+$60
Record
58%
44275-32205 (76480)
Invested
$88
Value
$100
PnL
+$12
Record
50%
20032-20390 (40422)
Invested
$107.32
Value
$88
PnL
-$5.82
Record
57%
18920-14004 (32924)
Invested
$134
Value
$67
PnL
+$1.79
Record
55%
6032-5035 (11067)
rayvanmechelen<$100Invested
$8.68
Value
$21.56
PnL
+$12.88
Record
—
0xheavy888CTR<$100Invested
$57.41
Value
—
PnL
-$57.41
Record
56%
7546-6039 (13585)
Invested
$2.15
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.85
Record
52%
8374-7652 (16026)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$4.62
Value
—
PnL
-$4.62
Record
51%
7139-6898 (14037)
Invested
$18.2
Value
—
PnL
-$2
Record
48%
5999-6422 (12421)
Invested
$218.01
Value
—
PnL
-$176.48
Record
45%
13352-16261 (29613)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Limousin
Yuta Shimizu — $13.6K
Venusian
Yuta Shimizu — $6.0K
NotJump
Yuta Shimizu — $2.4K
Flaznorp
Yuta Shimizu — $2.0K
CandleHammerDrums
CTRStefanos Sakellaridis — $0
LightParadox
Yuta Shimizu — $1.3K
RN1
ARBArbitrage — excluded
thestingsnake
Yuta Shimizu — $1.0K
38791873984189
CTRStefanos Sakellaridis — $0
Paul973973
Yuta Shimizu — $520.83