Resolution Proposed

A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.

Matsuyama: Rei Sakamoto vs Billy Harris

27 of 38 top Polymarket traders hold Rei Sakamoto (71%) · Rei Sakamoto at 0.1¢ · $24K held · awaiting resolution

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PENDING

⏳

Pending

Consensus Traders

Rei Sakamoto 71%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$24.0K

Combined PnL

$-8.1K

Smart Money Signal

Rei Sakamoto

27 of 38 top traders (71%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed27 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Rei Sakamoto0%

Billy Harris100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Billy Harris11 traders

Total Value$12.2K

Total Shares17,520

Combined PnL+$2.5K

Rei Sakamoto27 traders

Total Value$10.7K

Total Shares29,796

Combined PnL$-10.6K

Billy Harris — 29%Rei Sakamoto — 71%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
01 01258787xy48487484545122	Billy Harrisavg 97.9¢	$7.1K	$5.8K	+$187.11	67% 172-84 (256)
ES esticamos	Billy Harrisavg 58.4¢	$2.4K	$4.1K	+$1.7K	41% 15-22 (37)
alpheclabs2CTR	Rei Sakamotoavg 69.8¢	$3.9K	$2.3K	$-1.6K	45% 258-310 (568)
RN1CTR	Rei Sakamotoavg 85¢	$1.9K	$1.9K	+$11.3	56% 5043-4004 (9047)
SL SlickRick123CTR	Rei Sakamotoavg 50.1¢	$2.0K	$1.7K	-$342.04	34% 345-671 (1016)
0xheavy888CTR	Rei Sakamotoavg 75¢	$538.48	$638.99	+$100.51	54% 437-367 (804)
CA CandleHammerDrums	Billy Harrisavg 21¢	$611.42	$625.62	+$14.2	48% 462-493 (955)
SE sentrioCTR	Rei Sakamotoavg 85¢	$577.06	$580.45	+$3.39	43% 915-1235 (2150)
PA pauleta23	Billy Harrisavg 23.3¢	$270.21	$577.98	+$345.99	39% 406-629 (1035)
NO NotJumpARB<$100	Billy Harrisavg 50¢	$1.1K	$542.1	-$19.2	53% 750-669 (1419)
└ Rei Sakamoto leg	Rei Sakamotoavg 50¢	$269.97	$423.85	+$312.55
└ Billy Harris leg	Billy Harrisavg 50¢	$275	$118.25	-$331.75
FL FlaznorpCTR	Rei Sakamotoavg 87¢	$475.01	$463.31	-$11.7	50% 3526-3585 (7111)
65 6512395314597884	Billy Harrisavg 21¢	$366.4	$375.12	+$8.72	50% 3678-3623 (7301)
OM omnibus-076daaCTR	Rei Sakamotoavg 75.8¢	$363.15	$361.73	-$1.42	45% 441-538 (979)
SM smithagentCTR	Rei Sakamotoavg 37.4¢	$341.23	$357.56	+$55.42	44% 599-749 (1348)
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0CTR	Rei Sakamotoavg 64.4¢	$548.18	$350.28	-$193.18	44% 343-444 (787)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100	Rei Sakamotoavg 85.3¢	$344.79	$344.59	-$0.2	56% 4015-3133 (7148)
└ Rei Sakamoto leg	Rei Sakamotoavg 85.3¢	$263.68	$242.77	-$20.92
└ Billy Harris leg	Billy Harrisavg 17.1¢	$81.11	$101.82	+$20.71
TH thirdt1meCTR	Rei Sakamotoavg 82.4¢	$350.5	$344.03	+$128.68	48% 243-263 (506)
1L 1lovejumpCTR	Rei Sakamotoavg 77¢	$594.55	$339.74	-$189.84	39% 120-191 (311)
SU suntoriCTR	Rei Sakamotoavg 88.9¢	$388.65	$318.58	-$70.07	46% 2333-2789 (5122)
SU suitcase6628	Billy Harrisavg 19.7¢	$225.96	$310.11	+$209.78	64% 527-296 (823)
38 38791873984189	Billy Harrisavg 22.2¢	$379.66	$245.4	+$211.17	48% 2922-3218 (6140)
LR lryyyCTR	Rei Sakamotoavg 54.4¢	$306.68	$235.74	-$70.94	45% 706-873 (1579)
poshposhCTR	Rei Sakamotoavg 70.4¢	$365.95	$215.65	-$150.3	48% 1014-1100 (2114)
EU EulhunterARB<$100	Rei Sakamotoavg 75.4¢	$125.95	$209.51	+$83.55	51% 180-175 (355)
└ Billy Harris leg	Billy Harrisavg 13¢	$35.49	$159.7	+$124.21
└ Rei Sakamoto leg	Rei Sakamotoavg 75.4¢	$90.46	$49.8	-$40.66
HY hydra1248CTR	Rei Sakamotoavg 76¢	$107.41	$125.78	+$18.37	76% 162-52 (214)

01258787xy48487484545122

Billy Harris

Invested

$7,147.16

Value

$5.8K

PnL

+$187.11

Record

67%

172-84 (256)

esticamos

Billy Harris

Invested

$2,376.72

Value

$4.1K

PnL

+$1.7K

Record

41%

15-22 (37)

alpheclabs2CTR

Rei Sakamoto

Invested

$3,876.07

Value

$2.3K

PnL

$-1.6K

Record

45%

258-310 (568)

RN1CTR

Rei Sakamoto

Invested

$1,921.51

Value

$1.9K

PnL

+$11.3

Record

56%

5043-4004 (9047)

SlickRick123CTR

Rei Sakamoto

Invested

$2,031.37

Value

$1.7K

PnL

-$342.04

Record

34%

345-671 (1016)

0xheavy888CTR

Rei Sakamoto

Invested

$538.48

Value

$638.99

PnL

+$100.51

Record

54%

437-367 (804)

CandleHammerDrums

Billy Harris

Invested

$611.42

Value

$625.62

PnL

+$14.2

Record

48%

462-493 (955)

sentrioCTR

Rei Sakamoto

Invested

$577.06

Value

$580.45

PnL

+$3.39

Record

43%

915-1235 (2150)

pauleta23

Billy Harris

Invested

$270.21

Value

$577.98

PnL

+$345.99

Record

39%

406-629 (1035)

NotJumpARB<$100

Billy Harris

Invested

$1,050

Value

$542.1

PnL

-$19.2

Record

53%

750-669 (1419)

Both legs:

Rei Sakamoto$269.9750¢+$312.55

Billy Harris$27550¢-$331.75

FlaznorpCTR

Rei Sakamoto

Invested

$475.01

Value

$463.31

PnL

-$11.7

Record

50%

3526-3585 (7111)

6512395314597884

Billy Harris

Invested

$366.4

Value

$375.12

PnL

+$8.72

Record

50%

3678-3623 (7301)

omnibus-076daaCTR

Rei Sakamoto

Invested

$363.15

Value

$361.73

PnL

-$1.42

Record

45%

441-538 (979)

smithagentCTR

Rei Sakamoto

Invested

$341.23

Value

$357.56

PnL

+$55.42

Record

44%

599-749 (1348)

0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0CTR

Rei Sakamoto

Invested

$548.18

Value

$350.28

PnL

-$193.18

Record

44%

343-444 (787)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100

Rei Sakamoto

Invested

$344.79

Value

$344.59

PnL

-$0.2

Record

56%

4015-3133 (7148)

Both legs:

Rei Sakamoto$263.6885.3¢-$20.92

Billy Harris$81.1117.1¢+$20.71

thirdt1meCTR

Rei Sakamoto

Invested

$350.5

Value

$344.03

PnL

+$128.68

Record

48%

243-263 (506)

1lovejumpCTR

Rei Sakamoto

Invested

$594.55

Value

$339.74

PnL

-$189.84

Record

39%

120-191 (311)

suntoriCTR

Rei Sakamoto

Invested

$388.65

Value

$318.58

PnL

-$70.07

Record

46%

2333-2789 (5122)

suitcase6628

Billy Harris

Invested

$225.96

Value

$310.11

PnL

+$209.78

Record

64%

527-296 (823)

38791873984189

Billy Harris

Invested

$379.66

Value

$245.4

PnL

+$211.17

Record

48%

2922-3218 (6140)

lryyyCTR

Rei Sakamoto

Invested

$306.68

Value

$235.74

PnL

-$70.94

Record

45%

706-873 (1579)

poshposhCTR

Rei Sakamoto

Invested

$365.95

Value

$215.65

PnL

-$150.3

Record

48%

1014-1100 (2114)

EulhunterARB<$100

Rei Sakamoto

Invested

$125.95

Value

$209.51

PnL

+$83.55

Record

51%

180-175 (355)

Both legs:

Billy Harris$35.4913¢+$124.21

Rei Sakamoto$90.4675.4¢-$40.66

hydra1248CTR

Rei Sakamoto

Invested

$107.41

Value

$125.78

PnL

+$18.37

Record

76%

162-52 (214)

Smart Money Signal

Rei Sakamoto

27 of 38 top traders (71%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed27 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xecbaebb8...fa6301

Slug

atp-sakamot-harris-2026-11-13

Traders in this Market

01258787xy48487484545122

Billy Harris — $5.8K

+$187.11

esticamos

Billy Harris — $4.1K

alpheclabs2

Rei Sakamoto — $2.3K

RN1

Rei Sakamoto — $1.9K

SlickRick123

Rei Sakamoto — $1.7K

0xheavy888

Rei Sakamoto — $638.99

+$100.51

CandleHammerDrums

Billy Harris — $625.62

+$14.2

sentrio

CTR

Rei Sakamoto — $580.45

+$3.39

pauleta23

Billy Harris — $577.98

NotJump

Arbitrage — excluded