Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Ziga Sesko — but Loann Massard won instead.
Taranto: Loann Massard vs Ziga Sesko
Resolved Loann Massard. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Ziga Sesko. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
14
Ziga Sesko 62%
1 arb excluded
$1.0K
$-1.8K
Smart Money Signal
8 of 14 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Loann Massardavg 14.1¢ | $108.67 | $769.73 | +$661.07 | 51% 23350-22134 (45484) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Ziga Seskoavg 72.6¢ | $573.17 | — | -$312.8 | 48% 14339-15840 (30179) |
LI LimousinCTR | Ziga Seskoavg 87¢ | $250.47 | — | -$619.47 | 56% 915-719 (1634) |
LI LightParadoxCTR | Ziga Seskoavg 83.4¢ | $500.98 | — | -$421 | 53% 883-772 (1655) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR | Ziga Seskoavg 72.8¢ | $806.02 | — | -$806.02 | 47% 1285-1476 (2761) |
 RN1CTR | Ziga Seskoavg 12¢ | $105.61 | — | -$139.18 | 53% 58869-51174 (110043) |
TO topdogbigboiARB<$100 | Ziga Seskoavg 14.9¢ | $74.55 | $100 | +$25.45 | 47% 10535-11772 (22307) |
| └ Ziga Sesko leg | Ziga Seskoavg 14.9¢ | $47.35 | — | -$47.35 | |
| └ Loann Massard leg | Loann Massardavg 27.2¢ | $27.2 | $100 | +$72.8 | |
VE Venusian<$100 | Loann Massardavg 78.3¢ | $55 | $50 | +$6.74 | 53% 898-794 (1692) |
CI cigarettes<$100 | Loann Massardavg 27¢ | $13.5 | $50 | +$36.5 | 54% 22016-19110 (41126) |
 HRTrading<$100 | Loann Massardavg 3¢ | $1.05 | $35 | +$33.95 | 51% 7310-7059 (14369) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Loann Massardavg 35¢ | $7.21 | $20.6 | -$4.74 | 58% 49422-35504 (84926) |
 VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Ziga Seskoavg 67¢ | $14.98 | — | -$14.98 | 58% 44437-32355 (76792) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Ziga Seskoavg 35.1¢ | $3.82 | — | -$3.82 | 52% 808-754 (1562) |
TH thestingsnakeCTR | Ziga Seskoavg 75.4¢ | $248.52 | — | -$176.58 | 60% 4206-2810 (7016) |
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Loann Massardavg 35¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 14098-14659 (28757) |
Invested
$108.67
Value
$769.73
PnL
+$661.07
Record
51%
23350-22134 (45484)
Invested
$573.17
Value
—
PnL
-$312.8
Record
48%
14339-15840 (30179)
Invested
$250.47
Value
—
PnL
-$619.47
Record
56%
915-719 (1634)
Invested
$500.98
Value
—
PnL
-$421
Record
53%
883-772 (1655)
Invested
$806.02
Value
—
PnL
-$806.02
Record
47%
1285-1476 (2761)
RN1CTRInvested
$105.61
Value
—
PnL
-$139.18
Record
53%
58869-51174 (110043)
Invested
$74.55
Value
$100
PnL
+$25.45
Record
47%
10535-11772 (22307)
Both legs:
Invested
$55
Value
$50
PnL
+$6.74
Record
53%
898-794 (1692)
Invested
$13.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$36.5
Record
54%
22016-19110 (41126)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$1.05
Value
$35
PnL
+$33.95
Record
51%
7310-7059 (14369)
Invested
$7.21
Value
$20.6
PnL
-$4.74
Record
58%
49422-35504 (84926)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$14.98
Value
—
PnL
-$14.98
Record
58%
44437-32355 (76792)
Invested
$3.82
Value
—
PnL
-$3.82
Record
52%
808-754 (1562)
Invested
$248.52
Value
—
PnL
-$176.58
Record
60%
4206-2810 (7016)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
14098-14659 (28757)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
Loann Massard — $769.73
38791873984189
CTRZiga Sesko — $0
Limousin
CTRZiga Sesko — $0
LightParadox
CTRZiga Sesko — $0
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
CTRZiga Sesko — $0
RN1
CTRZiga Sesko — $0
topdogbigboi
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Venusian
Loann Massard — $50
cigarettes
Loann Massard — $50
HRTrading
Loann Massard — $35