Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Thiago Agustin Tirante β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Thiago Agustin Tirante

Set Handicap: Taylor Fritz (-1.5) vs Thiago Agustin Tirante (+1.5)
Resolved Thiago Agustin Tirante. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Thiago Agustin Tirante. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Thiago Agustin Tirante 50%
1 arb excluded
$2.6K
$834.53
Smart Money Signal
4 of 9 top traders (44%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382 | Thiago Agustin Tiranteavg 37.3Β’ | $681.35 | $1.8K | +$1.1K | 48% 286-304 (590) |
PV pvc975 | Thiago Agustin Tiranteavg 99.9Β’ | $425.01 | $425.44 | +$0.43 | 99% 334-3 (337) |
DA darkumbreon88CTR | Taylor Fritzavg 61Β’ | $295.29 | β | -$295.29 | 61% 1039-655 (1694) |
OM omnibus-076daaARB<$100 | Taylor Fritzavg 62Β’ | $241.67 | $81.28 | -$160.39 | 46% 487-575 (1062) |
| β Taylor Fritz leg | Taylor Fritzavg 62Β’ | $210.11 | β | -$210.11 | |
| β Thiago Agustin Tirante leg | Thiago Agustin Tiranteavg 38.8Β’ | $31.56 | $81.28 | +$49.72 | |
LE LeLynxMalynx | Thiago Agustin Tiranteavg 37.8Β’ | $105.89 | $280.35 | +$174.46 | 56% 462-367 (829) |
0X 0x8f121cc492d8fef3e6ba3a51e33d6c4b5afaeeb9CTR | Taylor Fritzavg 62Β’ | $147.62 | β | -$147.62 | 5% 21-434 (455) |
VE VetchCTR<$100 | Taylor Fritzavg 62Β’ | $38.95 | β | -$38.95 | 9% 5-53 (58) |
SH shiifooCTR<$100 | Taylor Fritzavg 65Β’ | $6.5 | β | -$6.5 | 61% 1424-903 (2327) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Thiago Agustin Tiranteavg 38Β’ | $1.9 | $5 | +$3.1 | 41% 689-1008 (1697) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Taylor Fritzavg 50Β’ | $200 | β | +$0 | 69% 131-59 (190) |
Invested
$681.35
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$1.1K
Record
48%
286-304 (590)
Invested
$425.01
Value
$425.44
PnL
+$0.43
Record
99%
334-3 (337)
Invested
$295.29
Value
β
PnL
-$295.29
Record
61%
1039-655 (1694)
Invested
$241.67
Value
$81.28
PnL
-$160.39
Record
46%
487-575 (1062)
Both legs:
Invested
$105.89
Value
$280.35
PnL
+$174.46
Record
56%
462-367 (829)
Invested
$147.62
Value
β
PnL
-$147.62
Record
5%
21-434 (455)
Invested
$38.95
Value
β
PnL
-$38.95
Record
9%
5-53 (58)
Invested
$6.5
Value
β
PnL
-$6.5
Record
61%
1424-903 (2327)
Invested
$1.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.1
Record
41%
689-1008 (1697)
Invested
$200
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
69%
131-59 (190)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382
Thiago Agustin Tirante β $1.8K
pvc975
Thiago Agustin Tirante β $425.44
darkumbreon88
CTRTaylor Fritz β $0
omnibus-076daa
ARBArbitrage β excluded
LeLynxMalynx
Thiago Agustin Tirante β $280.35
0x8f121cc492d8fef3e6ba3a51e33d6c4b5afaeeb9
CTRTaylor Fritz β $0
Vetch
CTRTaylor Fritz β $0
shiifoo
CTRTaylor Fritz β $0
ameisgoat11
Thiago Agustin Tirante β $5
overtimemarkets.xyz-singles
CTRTaylor Fritz β $0