Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Club Almirante Brown — but Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy won instead.
Spread: Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy (-1.5)
Resolved Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Club Almirante Brown. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
5
Club Almirante Brown 50%
1 arb excluded
$529.72
$35.16
Smart Money Signal
2 of 5 top traders (40%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Club Almirante Brownavg 78.1¢ | $213.33 | $121 | -$92.33 | 49% 4352-4620 (8972) |
| └ Club Almirante Brown leg | Club Almirante Brownavg 78.1¢ | $159.99 | — | -$159.99 | |
| └ Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy leg | Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuyavg 44.1¢ | $53.34 | $121 | +$67.66 | |
 rayvanmechelen | Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuyavg 25¢ | $66 | $264 | +$198 | 16% 55-297 (352) |
 VeryLucky888CTR | Club Almirante Brownavg 74.8¢ | $194.83 | — | -$194.83 | 54% 1691-1455 (3146) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuyavg 24¢ | $64.73 | $144.72 | +$79.99 | 53% 2421-2179 (4600) |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Club Almirante Brownavg 75¢ | $48 | — | -$48 | 56% 621-486 (1107) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles<$100 | Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuyavg 50¢ | $44 | — | +$0 | 66% 141-74 (215) |
Invested
$213.33
Value
$121
PnL
-$92.33
Record
49%
4352-4620 (8972)
Both legs:
rayvanmechelenInvested
$66
Value
$264
PnL
+$198
Record
16%
55-297 (352)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$194.83
Value
—
PnL
-$194.83
Record
54%
1691-1455 (3146)
Invested
$64.73
Value
$144.72
PnL
+$79.99
Record
53%
2421-2179 (4600)
Invested
$48
Value
—
PnL
-$48
Record
56%
621-486 (1107)
Invested
$44
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
141-74 (215)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage — excluded
rayvanmechelen
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy — $264
VeryLucky888
CTRClub Almirante Brown — $0
GoalLineGhost
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy — $144.72
LeLynxMalynx
CTRClub Almirante Brown — $0
overtimemarkets.xyz-singles
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy — $0