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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes

Will Colon de Santa Fe win on 2026-11-14?

Resolved Yes. 31% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

13

Yes 33%

Total Value

$527.17

Combined PnL

-$249.64

Smart Money Signal

Yes

4 of 13 top traders (31%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%
No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes4 traders
Total Value$527.17
Total Shares527
Combined PnL-$6.27
No9 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares535
Combined PnL-$243.37
Yes — 31%No — 69%
LO
looppau
Yes

Invested

$406.55

Value

$406.96

PnL

+$0.41

Record

100%

756-0 (756)

RN1<$100
Yes

Invested

$89.81

Value

$74.84

PnL

-$14.97

Record

55%

5637-4683 (10320)

FL
FlaznorpCTR
No

Invested

$189.48

Value

—

PnL

-$189.48

Record

49%

4276-4505 (8781)

tradecraft<$100
Yes

Invested

$22.02

Value

$23.94

PnL

+$1.92

Record

32%

412-857 (1269)

TO
topdogbigboi<$100
Yes

Invested

$15.05

Value

$21.43

PnL

+$6.38

Record

38%

1276-2064 (3340)

OD
OddstormCTR<$100
No

Invested

$26.49

Value

—

PnL

-$26.49

Record

34%

116-225 (341)

0X
0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000CTR<$100
No

Invested

$9

Value

—

PnL

-$9

Record

26%

71-205 (276)

SL
SlickRick123CTR<$100
No

Invested

$4.8

Value

—

PnL

-$4.8

Record

37%

440-762 (1202)

VE
VenusianCTR<$100
No

Invested

$8.1

Value

—

PnL

-$8.1

Record

37%

1136-1943 (3079)

LI
LightParadoxCTR<$100
No

Invested

$4.36

Value

—

PnL

-$4.36

Record

37%

1155-1943 (3098)

FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100
No

Invested

$1.02

Value

—

PnL

-$1.02

Record

48%

2318-2517 (4835)

LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100
No

Invested

$0.11

Value

—

PnL

-$0.11

Record

36%

563-1018 (1581)

AH
aHjCzCTR<$100
No

Invested

$0.01

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

25%

1338-4026 (5364)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x18083134...9b19a0
Slug
argpn-col-afm-2026-11-14-col

Traders in this Market

LO

looppau

Yes — $406.96

+$0.41

RN1

Yes — $74.84

-$14.97
FL

Flaznorp

CTR

No — $0

-$189.48

tradecraft

Yes — $23.94

+$1.92
TO

topdogbigboi

Yes — $21.43

+$6.38
OD

Oddstorm

CTR

No — $0

-$26.49
0X

0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000

CTR

No — $0

-$9
SL

SlickRick123

CTR

No — $0

-$4.8
VE

Venusian

CTR

No — $0

-$8.1
LI

LightParadox

CTR

No — $0

-$4.36
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