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YesNoNoNoYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will CA Temperley vs. Club Ciudad de Bolivar end in a draw?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 60%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$81.81
Combined PnL
$6.55
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$41.83
Total Shares42
Combined PnL+$17.65
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares30
Combined PnL-$11.1
No — 60%Yes — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Yesavg 20.8¢ | $114.08 | $39.98 | -$74.1 | 49% 4123-4317 (8440) |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 20.8¢ | $80.1 | — | -$80.1 | |
| └ No leg | Noavg 85¢ | $33.98 | $39.98 | +$6 | |
0X 0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000<$100 | Noavg 61¢ | $16.5 | $27.05 | +$10.55 | 25% 63-191 (254) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100 | Noavg 54¢ | $5.28 | $9.78 | +$4.5 | 50% 2600-2575 (5175) |
AR ARocky33<$100 | Noavg 48¢ | $2.4 | $5 | +$2.6 | 78% 805-225 (1030) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Yesavg 33¢ | $6.6 | — | -$6.6 | 37% 1064-1806 (2870) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 46¢ | $4.5 | — | -$4.5 | 38% 1094-1794 (2888) |
FL
FlaznorpARB<$100Invested
$114.08
Value
$39.98
PnL
-$74.1
Record
49%
4123-4317 (8440)
Both legs:
Yes$80.120.8¢-$80.1
No$33.9885¢+$6
0X
0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000<$100Invested
$16.5
Value
$27.05
PnL
+$10.55
Record
25%
63-191 (254)
KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100Invested
$5.28
Value
$9.78
PnL
+$4.5
Record
50%
2600-2575 (5175)
AR
ARocky33<$100Invested
$2.4
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.6
Record
78%
805-225 (1030)
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$6.6
Value
—
PnL
-$6.6
Record
37%
1064-1806 (2870)
MA
MadridTimeCTR<$100Invested
$4.5
Value
—
PnL
-$4.5
Record
38%
1094-1794 (2888)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf2e1b1a9...49e485
Slug
argpn-cat-ciu-2026-11-14-draw