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NoNoNo
tradecraft<$100YesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will Club Ciudad de Bolivar win on 2026-11-14?
Resolved Yes. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 60%
Total Value
$60.24
Combined PnL
-$129.55
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares585
Combined PnL-$177.98
Yes2 traders
Total Value$60.24
Total Shares60
Combined PnL+$48.43
No — 60%Yes — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Noavg 11.3¢ | $48.23 | — | -$48.23 | 37% 1064-1806 (2870) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Noavg 50.1¢ | $57.04 | — | -$57.04 | 49% 4123-4317 (8440) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100 | Noavg 84.2¢ | $72.71 | — | -$72.71 | 50% 2600-2575 (5175) |
tradecraft<$100 | Yesavg 20¢ | $9.63 | $48.15 | +$38.52 | 32% 385-828 (1213) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Yesavg 18¢ | $2.18 | $12.09 | +$9.91 | 53% 2249-2030 (4279) |
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$48.23
Value
—
PnL
-$48.23
Record
37%
1064-1806 (2870)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$57.04
Value
—
PnL
-$57.04
Record
49%
4123-4317 (8440)
KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100Invested
$72.71
Value
—
PnL
-$72.71
Record
50%
2600-2575 (5175)
tradecraft<$100Invested
$9.63
Value
$48.15
PnL
+$38.52
Record
32%
385-828 (1213)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
$2.18
Value
$12.09
PnL
+$9.91
Record
53%
2249-2030 (4279)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x306d0659...d999b3
Slug
argpn-cat-ciu-2026-11-14-ciu