Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will CA Atlanta win on 2026-11-14?
Resolved No. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
No 57%
1 arb excluded
$3.2K
$584.01
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 74.6¢ | $1.5K | $1.9K | +$471.11 | 49% 4087-4288 (8375) |
 rayvanmechelen | Noavg 59.6¢ | $687.15 | $1.2K | +$464.85 | 13% 44-292 (336) |
 VeryLucky888CTR | Yesavg 40.5¢ | $324 | — | -$324 | 54% 1497-1295 (2792) |
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Yesavg 35.9¢ | $105.12 | $31.33 | -$73.8 | 53% 2235-2015 (4250) |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 35.9¢ | $87.27 | — | -$87.27 | |
| └ No leg | Noavg 57¢ | $17.86 | $31.33 | +$13.47 | |
MA MadridTime<$100 | Noavg 84.1¢ | $31.94 | $38 | +$6.06 | 38% 1068-1766 (2834) |
 tradecraft<$100 | Noavg 67.3¢ | $20.34 | $30.2 | +$9.86 | 31% 376-824 (1200) |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Yesavg 40¢ | $42.8 | — | -$42.8 | 55% 532-434 (966) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 6.5¢ | $6.07 | — | -$1.07 | 48% 2231-2388 (4619) |
Invested
$1,465.72
Value
$1.9K
PnL
+$471.11
Record
49%
4087-4288 (8375)
rayvanmechelenInvested
$687.15
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$464.85
Record
13%
44-292 (336)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$324
Value
—
PnL
-$324
Record
54%
1497-1295 (2792)
Invested
$105.12
Value
$31.33
PnL
-$73.8
Record
53%
2235-2015 (4250)
Both legs:
Invested
$31.94
Value
$38
PnL
+$6.06
Record
38%
1068-1766 (2834)
tradecraft<$100Invested
$20.34
Value
$30.2
PnL
+$9.86
Record
31%
376-824 (1200)
Invested
$42.8
Value
—
PnL
-$42.8
Record
55%
532-434 (966)
Invested
$6.07
Value
—
PnL
-$1.07
Record
48%
2231-2388 (4619)