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OraculumNobiusYesYesYesNo
IstarothCTR<$100NoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Anthropic announces a training pause by October 31?
Resolved Yes. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 67%
Total Value
$2.9K
Combined PnL
$329.78
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$2.9K
Total Shares2,865
Combined PnL+$390.74
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares72
Combined PnL-$60.96
Yes — 67%No — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OraculumNobius | Yesavg 99.9¢ | $1.8K | $1.8K | +$1.78 | 90% 5460-611 (6071) |
XT xtxpleasecallme | Yesavg 31.7¢ | $427.11 | $574.04 | +$388.34 | 36% 15093-27221 (42314) |
ZX zxc368 | Yesavg 99.9¢ | $504.5 | $505 | +$0.5 | 99% 12841-194 (13035) |
BR browneCTR<$100 | Noavg 87.1¢ | $61 | — | -$61 | 71% 162-67 (229) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Noavg 85.3¢ | $4.26 | — | +$0.04 | 23% 287-958 (1245) |
0X 0x26b166604677eaef5f2e81b716f539ed2857cc81<$100 | Yesavg 89.9¢ | $1 | $1.11 | +$0.11 | 54% 286-245 (531) |
OraculumNobiusInvested
$1,782.58
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$1.78
Record
90%
5460-611 (6071)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeInvested
$427.11
Value
$574.04
PnL
+$388.34
Record
36%
15093-27221 (42314)
ZX
zxc368Invested
$504.5
Value
$505
PnL
+$0.5
Record
99%
12841-194 (13035)
BR
browneCTR<$100Invested
$61
Value
—
PnL
-$61
Record
71%
162-67 (229)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
$4.26
Value
—
PnL
+$0.04
Record
23%
287-958 (1245)
0X
0x26b166604677eaef5f2e81b716f539ed2857cc81<$100Invested
$1
Value
$1.11
PnL
+$0.11
Record
54%
286-245 (531)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9ccc2713...145713
Slug
anthropic-announces-a-training-pause-by-october-31