Back to Markets
No
clazzy1CTR<$100YesYes
Istaroth<$100NoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Amphenol (APH) Q3 organic sales growth 32% to 36%?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 50%
Total Value
$70
Combined PnL
$23.6
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$70
Total Shares70
Combined PnL+$32.9
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares33
Combined PnL-$9.3
No — 60%Yes — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907e<$100 | Noavg 53¢ | $37.1 | $70 | +$32.9 | 80% 246-60 (306) |
clazzy1CTR<$100 | Yesavg 28.3¢ | $9.3 | — | -$9.3 | 62% 373-227 (600) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Yesavg 15¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4338-9330 (13668) |
Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 56¢ | — | — | +$0 | 27% 281-776 (1057) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 56.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 14860-26974 (41834) |
0X
0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907e<$100Invested
$37.1
Value
$70
PnL
+$32.9
Record
80%
246-60 (306)
clazzy1CTR<$100Invested
$9.3
Value
—
PnL
-$9.3
Record
62%
373-227 (600)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4338-9330 (13668)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
27%
281-776 (1057)
XT
xtxpleasecallme<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
14860-26974 (41834)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xc1c9d9d2...28f6dd
Slug
amphenol-aph-q3-organic-sales-growth-20261008120046000-32-to-36