Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Under β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Uganda vs. Botswana: O/U 5.5
Resolved Under. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Under 57%
$21.9K
-$123.57
Smart Money Signal
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AL alohaa | Underavg 99.8Β’ | $21.4K | $21.4K | +$42.8 | 95% 21-1 (22) |
NE Next-Licensing | Underavg 99.9Β’ | $327.04 | $327.37 | +$0.33 | 98% 178-4 (182) |
NO NotJump | Underavg 99.9Β’ | $99.9 | $100 | +$0.1 | 51% 850-801 (1651) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Overavg 0.6Β’ | $166.54 | β | -$166.54 | 49% 3959-4107 (8066) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Underavg 97Β’ | $45.91 | $47.33 | +$1.42 | 53% 2162-1905 (4067) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Overavg 0.2Β’ | $5.83 | β | -$0.83 | 48% 2157-2304 (4461) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Overavg 3.3Β’ | $1.37 | β | -$1.37 | 36% 477-850 (1327) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Overavg 3Β’ | $1.42 | β | +$0.53 | 46% 2743-3256 (5999) |
Invested
$21,355.8
Value
$21.4K
PnL
+$42.8
Record
95%
21-1 (22)
Invested
$327.04
Value
$327.37
PnL
+$0.33
Record
98%
178-4 (182)
Invested
$99.9
Value
$100
PnL
+$0.1
Record
51%
850-801 (1651)
Invested
$166.54
Value
β
PnL
-$166.54
Record
49%
3959-4107 (8066)
Invested
$45.91
Value
$47.33
PnL
+$1.42
Record
53%
2162-1905 (4067)
Invested
$5.83
Value
β
PnL
-$0.83
Record
48%
2157-2304 (4461)
Invested
$1.37
Value
β
PnL
-$1.37
Record
36%
477-850 (1327)
Invested
$1.42
Value
β
PnL
+$0.53
Record
46%
2743-3256 (5999)