Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Under β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Uganda vs. Botswana: O/U 4.5
Resolved Under. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Under 50%
$40.4K
-$149.28
Smart Money Signal
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AL alohaa | Underavg 99.8Β’ | $39.7K | $39.8K | +$88.66 | 95% 21-1 (22) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Underavg 98.2Β’ | $497.37 | $419.25 | -$78.12 | 53% 2162-1905 (4067) |
NE Next-Licensing | Underavg 99.9Β’ | $131.63 | $131.76 | +$0.13 | 98% 178-4 (182) |
NO NotJump | Underavg 99.8Β’ | $99.8 | $100 | +$0.2 | 51% 850-801 (1651) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Overavg 0.2Β’ | $26.43 | β | -$26.43 | 38% 1014-1686 (2700) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Overavg 0.2Β’ | $26.43 | β | -$26.43 | 36% 975-1701 (2676) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Overavg 6.7Β’ | $80.87 | β | -$80.87 | 49% 3959-4107 (8066) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Overavg 0.3Β’ | $26.43 | β | -$26.43 | 37% 991-1715 (2706) |
Invested
$39,674.58
Value
$39.8K
PnL
+$88.66
Record
95%
21-1 (22)
Invested
$497.37
Value
$419.25
PnL
-$78.12
Record
53%
2162-1905 (4067)
Invested
$131.63
Value
$131.76
PnL
+$0.13
Record
98%
178-4 (182)
Invested
$99.8
Value
$100
PnL
+$0.2
Record
51%
850-801 (1651)
Invested
$26.43
Value
β
PnL
-$26.43
Record
38%
1014-1686 (2700)
Invested
$26.43
Value
β
PnL
-$26.43
Record
36%
975-1701 (2676)
Invested
$80.87
Value
β
PnL
-$80.87
Record
49%
3959-4107 (8066)
Invested
$26.43
Value
β
PnL
-$26.43
Record
37%
991-1715 (2706)