Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Under β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Uganda vs. Botswana: O/U 3.5
Resolved Under. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Under 43%
$6.9K
$63.99
Smart Money Signal
3 of 8 top traders (38%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 92.2Β’ | $4.2K | $4.6K | +$349.8 | 49% 3959-4107 (8066) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Underavg 81Β’ | $1.1K | $1.3K | +$233.61 | 53% 2162-1905 (4067) |
AL alohaa | Underavg 99.9Β’ | $998.5 | $1.0K | +$1.5 | 95% 21-1 (22) |
SN SnakeBallCTR | Overavg 6Β’ | $177.53 | β | -$177.53 | 47% 936-1036 (1972) |
![]() RN1CTR | Overavg 12.7Β’ | $331.4 | β | -$331.4 | 55% 5402-4371 (9773) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Overavg 0.2Β’ | $1 | β | -$1 | 36% 975-1701 (2676) |
NO NotJumpCTR<$100 | Overavg 10Β’ | $5 | β | -$5 | 51% 850-801 (1651) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Overavg 49.2Β’ | $11.24 | β | -$5.99 | 46% 2743-3256 (5999) |
Invested
$4,212.86
Value
$4.6K
PnL
+$349.8
Record
49%
3959-4107 (8066)
Invested
$1,113.95
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$233.61
Record
53%
2162-1905 (4067)
Invested
$998.5
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$1.5
Record
95%
21-1 (22)
Invested
$177.53
Value
β
PnL
-$177.53
Record
47%
936-1036 (1972)
RN1CTRInvested
$331.4
Value
β
PnL
-$331.4
Record
55%
5402-4371 (9773)
Invested
$1
Value
β
PnL
-$1
Record
36%
975-1701 (2676)
Invested
$5
Value
β
PnL
-$5
Record
51%
850-801 (1651)
Invested
$11.24
Value
β
PnL
-$5.99
Record
46%
2743-3256 (5999)