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YesYesYesYes
poshposhCTR<$100YesNoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Uganda leading at halftime?
Resolved No. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 71%
Total Value
$16.36
Combined PnL
-$569.65
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,212
Combined PnL-$583.71
No2 traders
Total Value$16.36
Total Shares16
Combined PnL+$14.07
Yes — 71%No — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Yesavg 42.8¢ | $324.3 | — | -$324.3 | 53% 2162-1905 (4067) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Yesavg 84.5¢ | $213.21 | — | -$213.21 | 49% 3959-4107 (8066) |
SL SlickRick123CTR<$100 | Yesavg 12.2¢ | $23.67 | — | -$23.67 | 34% 377-716 (1093) |
LR lryyyCTR<$100 | Yesavg 11.6¢ | $12.76 | — | -$12.76 | 45% 836-1013 (1849) |
poshposhCTR<$100 | Yesavg 13.2¢ | $9.78 | — | -$9.78 | 49% 1169-1236 (2405) |
VE Venusian<$100 | Noavg 14¢ | $1.24 | $8.86 | +$7.62 | 37% 991-1715 (2706) |
LI Limousin<$100 | Noavg 14¢ | $1.05 | $7.5 | +$6.45 | 36% 975-1701 (2676) |
GO
GoalLineGhostCTRInvested
$324.3
Value
—
PnL
-$324.3
Record
53%
2162-1905 (4067)
FL
FlaznorpCTRInvested
$213.21
Value
—
PnL
-$213.21
Record
49%
3959-4107 (8066)
SL
SlickRick123CTR<$100Invested
$23.67
Value
—
PnL
-$23.67
Record
34%
377-716 (1093)
LR
lryyyCTR<$100Invested
$12.76
Value
—
PnL
-$12.76
Record
45%
836-1013 (1849)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$9.78
Value
—
PnL
-$9.78
Record
49%
1169-1236 (2405)
VE
Venusian<$100Invested
$1.24
Value
$8.86
PnL
+$7.62
Record
37%
991-1715 (2706)
LI
Limousin<$100Invested
$1.05
Value
$7.5
PnL
+$6.45
Record
36%
975-1701 (2676)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x166ba16e...e35d53
Slug
afcq-uga-bot-2026-11-14-halftime-result-home