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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was No β€” but Yes won instead.

Uganda vs. Botswana: Both Teams to Score

Resolved Yes. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

5

No 40%

Total Value

$442.63

Combined PnL

$100.6

Smart Money Signal

No

2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%
No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes3 traders
Total Value$442.63
Total Shares443
Combined PnL+$232.86
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares223
Combined PnL-$132.25
Yes β€” 60%No β€” 40%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x819754c5...1d9fc9
Slug
afcq-uga-bot-2026-11-14-btts
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