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OverOverOverUnderUnderUnder
poshposhCTR<$100Under
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Madagascar vs. Guinea-Bissau: Guinea-Bissau O/U 0.5
Resolved Over. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Under 57%
Total Value
$47
Combined PnL
-$19.95
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over3 traders
Total Value$47
Total Shares47
Combined PnL+$11.38
Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares78
Combined PnL-$31.33
Over — 43%Under — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100 | Overavg 87¢ | $26.1 | $30 | +$3.9 | 99% 263-4 (267) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Overavg 56¢ | $6.16 | $11 | +$4.84 | 44% 431-541 (972) |
SL SlickRick123<$100 | Overavg 56¢ | $3.36 | $6 | +$2.64 | 29% 206-510 (716) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Underavg 44.3¢ | $16.38 | — | -$16.38 | 51% 2634-2567 (5201) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Underavg 29¢ | $4.58 | — | -$4.58 | 35% 221-416 (637) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Underavg 30¢ | $4.26 | — | -$4.26 | 46% 485-564 (1049) |
poshposhCTR<$100 | Underavg 55¢ | $6.11 | — | -$6.11 | 48% 590-645 (1235) |
0X
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105<$100Invested
$26.1
Value
$30
PnL
+$3.9
Record
99%
263-4 (267)
LR
lryyy<$100Invested
$6.16
Value
$11
PnL
+$4.84
Record
44%
431-541 (972)
SL
SlickRick123<$100Invested
$3.36
Value
$6
PnL
+$2.64
Record
29%
206-510 (716)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$16.38
Value
—
PnL
-$16.38
Record
51%
2634-2567 (5201)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$4.58
Value
—
PnL
-$4.58
Record
35%
221-416 (637)
SN
SnakeBallCTR<$100Invested
$4.26
Value
—
PnL
-$4.26
Record
46%
485-564 (1049)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$6.11
Value
—
PnL
-$6.11
Record
48%
590-645 (1235)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc580cf0e...f70f9a
Slug
afcq-mad-gb-2026-11-12-team-total-away-0pt5