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YesYesYesNoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Madagascar vs. Guinea-Bissau: Draw at halftime?
Resolved Yes. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 60%
Total Value
$276.19
Combined PnL
$2.4
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$276.19
Total Shares276
Combined PnL+$74.15
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares208
Combined PnL-$71.75
Yes — 60%No — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Yesavg 65.4¢ | $164.14 | $208 | +$43.86 | 55% 1693-1391 (3084) |
MA MadridTime<$100 | Yesavg 47¢ | $25 | $53.19 | +$28.19 | 34% 592-1164 (1756) |
VE Venusian<$100 | Yesavg 86¢ | $12.9 | $15 | +$2.1 | 32% 565-1192 (1757) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Noavg 35¢ | $71.05 | — | -$71.05 | 51% 2634-2567 (5201) |
LR lryyyCTR<$100 | Noavg 14¢ | $0.7 | — | -$0.7 | 44% 431-541 (972) |
GO
GoalLineGhostInvested
$164.14
Value
$208
PnL
+$43.86
Record
55%
1693-1391 (3084)
MA
MadridTime<$100Invested
$25
Value
$53.19
PnL
+$28.19
Record
34%
592-1164 (1756)
VE
Venusian<$100Invested
$12.9
Value
$15
PnL
+$2.1
Record
32%
565-1192 (1757)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$71.05
Value
—
PnL
-$71.05
Record
51%
2634-2567 (5201)
LR
lryyyCTR<$100Invested
$0.7
Value
—
PnL
-$0.7
Record
44%
431-541 (972)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xef6b0d65...26e90e
Slug
afcq-mad-gb-2026-11-12-halftime-result-draw