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OverUnder
RN1<$100UnderOverOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Angola vs. South Sudan: O/U 4.5
Resolved Under. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 60%
Total Value
$46.38
Combined PnL
-$31.04
Smart Money Signal
Over
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares297
Combined PnL-$36.76
Under2 traders
Total Value$46.38
Total Shares46
Combined PnL+$5.73
Over — 60%Under — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Overavg 6.3¢ | $33.53 | — | -$33.53 | 49% 4123-4317 (8440) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Underavg 82.2¢ | $25.79 | $31.38 | +$5.59 | 53% 2249-2030 (4279) |
RN1<$100 | Underavg 99.1¢ | $14.87 | $15 | +$0.13 | 55% 5525-4565 (10090) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Overavg 18¢ | $3.17 | — | -$3.17 | 37% 1064-1806 (2870) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Overavg 2.7¢ | $0.06 | — | -$0.06 | 35% 520-947 (1467) |
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$33.53
Value
—
PnL
-$33.53
Record
49%
4123-4317 (8440)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
$25.79
Value
$31.38
PnL
+$5.59
Record
53%
2249-2030 (4279)
RN1<$100Invested
$14.87
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.13
Record
55%
5525-4565 (10090)
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$3.17
Value
—
PnL
-$3.17
Record
37%
1064-1806 (2870)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$0.06
Value
—
PnL
-$0.06
Record
35%
520-947 (1467)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x76308f20...237481
Slug
afcq-ang-ss-2026-11-14-total-4pt5