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OverOverOver
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Over
RN1CTR<$100Over
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Angola vs. South Sudan: O/U 3.5
Resolved Under. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
4
Over 100%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$58
Combined PnL
-$863.32
Smart Money Signal
Over
4 of 4 top traders (100%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,873
Combined PnL-$863.32
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Overavg 25.8¢ | $708.94 | — | -$708.94 | 53% 2249-2030 (4279) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Overavg 33.4¢ | $156.17 | $58 | -$98.17 | 49% 4123-4317 (8440) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 74.5¢ | $43.22 | $58 | +$14.78 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 33.4¢ | $112.95 | — | -$112.95 | |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Overavg 34.4¢ | $84 | — | -$84 | 55% 547-442 (989) |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Overavg 34¢ | $68 | — | -$68 | 54% 1525-1316 (2841) |
RN1CTR<$100 | Overavg 34¢ | $2.38 | — | -$2.38 | 55% 5525-4565 (10090) |
GO
GoalLineGhostCTRInvested
$708.94
Value
—
PnL
-$708.94
Record
53%
2249-2030 (4279)
FL
FlaznorpARB<$100Invested
$156.17
Value
$58
PnL
-$98.17
Record
49%
4123-4317 (8440)
Both legs:
Under$43.2274.5¢+$14.78
Over$112.9533.4¢-$112.95
LE
LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100Invested
$84
Value
—
PnL
-$84
Record
55%
547-442 (989)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$68
Value
—
PnL
-$68
Record
54%
1525-1316 (2841)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$2.38
Value
—
PnL
-$2.38
Record
55%
5525-4565 (10090)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xdbfb7f86...ba4001
Slug
afcq-ang-ss-2026-11-14-total-3pt5