Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Over β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over
Angola vs. South Sudan: O/U 0.5
Resolved Over. 9% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
π
Won
11
Over 9%
1 arb excluded
$3.3K
-$38.1
Smart Money Signal
1 of 11 top traders (9%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Underavg 47.9Β’ | $2.4K | $1.6K | -$746.48 | 49% 4123-4317 (8440) |
| β Over leg | Overavg 59.3Β’ | $976.38 | $1.6K | +$670.61 | |
| β Under leg | Underavg 47.9Β’ | $1.4K | β | $-1.4K | |
GO GoalLineGhost | Overavg 66.4Β’ | $1.1K | $1.7K | +$540.59 | 53% 2249-2030 (4279) |
LI LightParadoxCTR | Underavg 49.4Β’ | $446.16 | β | -$446.16 | 37% 1085-1829 (2914) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Underavg 8.6Β’ | $36.11 | β | -$36.11 | 47% 985-1122 (2107) |
![]() RN1CTR<$100 | Underavg 7.4Β’ | $13.04 | β | -$13.04 | 55% 5525-4565 (10090) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Underavg 6.7Β’ | $8.56 | β | -$8.56 | 35% 520-947 (1467) |
![]() poshposhCTR<$100 | Underavg 2.6Β’ | $2.5 | β | -$2.5 | 49% 1233-1293 (2526) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Underavg 47.4Β’ | $27.36 | β | -$27.36 | 53% 7213-6305 (13518) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Underavg 30.5Β’ | $16.49 | β | -$16.49 | 38% 1094-1794 (2888) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Underavg 44.2Β’ | $12.74 | β | -$12.74 | 37% 1070-1834 (2904) |
![]() ARTEM-DZYUBACTR<$100 | Underavg 56Β’ | $11.2 | β | -$11.2 | 83% 802-165 (967) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Underavg 61.4Β’ | $9.53 | β | -$4.52 | 48% 2245-2407 (4652) |
Invested
$2,393.46
Value
$1.6K
PnL
-$746.48
Record
49%
4123-4317 (8440)
Both legs:
Invested
$1,120.02
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$540.59
Record
53%
2249-2030 (4279)
Invested
$446.16
Value
β
PnL
-$446.16
Record
37%
1085-1829 (2914)
Invested
$36.11
Value
β
PnL
-$36.11
Record
47%
985-1122 (2107)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$13.04
Value
β
PnL
-$13.04
Record
55%
5525-4565 (10090)
Invested
$8.56
Value
β
PnL
-$8.56
Record
35%
520-947 (1467)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$2.5
Value
β
PnL
-$2.5
Record
49%
1233-1293 (2526)
Invested
$27.36
Value
β
PnL
-$27.36
Record
53%
7213-6305 (13518)
Invested
$16.49
Value
β
PnL
-$16.49
Record
38%
1094-1794 (2888)
Invested
$12.74
Value
β
PnL
-$12.74
Record
37%
1070-1834 (2904)
ARTEM-DZYUBACTR<$100Invested
$11.2
Value
β
PnL
-$11.2
Record
83%
802-165 (967)
Invested
$9.53
Value
β
PnL
-$4.52
Record
48%
2245-2407 (4652)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage β excluded
GoalLineGhost
Over β $1.7K
LightParadox
CTRUnder β $0
SnakeBall
CTRUnder β $0

RN1
CTRUnder β $0
LuckyLoo
CTRUnder β $0

poshposh
CTRUnder β $0
cigarettes
CTRUnder β $0
MadridTime
CTRUnder β $0
Venusian
CTRUnder β $0