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Over
VeryLucky888UnderUnderUnderOverOverOverOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Angola vs. South Sudan: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Resolved Under. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Over 71%
Total Value
$179.78
Combined PnL
-$497.39
Smart Money Signal
Over
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,257
Combined PnL-$570.31
Under3 traders
Total Value$179.78
Total Shares180
Combined PnL+$72.92
Over — 63%Under — 37%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR | Overavg 28.8¢ | $323.04 | — | -$323.04 | 49% 4123-4317 (8440) |
VeryLucky888 | Underavg 59¢ | $59 | $100 | +$41 | 54% 1525-1316 (2841) |
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100 | Underavg 60¢ | $47.4 | $79 | +$31.6 | 55% 547-442 (989) |
LO lonmi2511<$100 | Underavg 59¢ | $0.46 | $0.78 | +$0.32 | 59% 728-499 (1227) |
VE VenusianCTR | Overavg 38¢ | $111.8 | — | -$111.8 | 37% 1070-1834 (2904) |
LI LimousinCTR | Overavg 38¢ | $105.63 | — | -$105.63 | 37% 1064-1806 (2870) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Overavg 38¢ | $21.81 | — | -$21.81 | 37% 1085-1829 (2914) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Overavg 38¢ | $13.03 | — | -$8.03 | 48% 2245-2407 (4652) |
FL
FlaznorpCTRInvested
$323.04
Value
—
PnL
-$323.04
Record
49%
4123-4317 (8440)
VeryLucky888Invested
$59
Value
$100
PnL
+$41
Record
54%
1525-1316 (2841)
LE
LeLynxMalynx<$100Invested
$47.4
Value
$79
PnL
+$31.6
Record
55%
547-442 (989)
LO
lonmi2511<$100Invested
$0.46
Value
$0.78
PnL
+$0.32
Record
59%
728-499 (1227)
VE
VenusianCTRInvested
$111.8
Value
—
PnL
-$111.8
Record
37%
1070-1834 (2904)
LI
LimousinCTRInvested
$105.63
Value
—
PnL
-$105.63
Record
37%
1064-1806 (2870)
LI
LightParadoxCTR<$100Invested
$21.81
Value
—
PnL
-$21.81
Record
37%
1085-1829 (2914)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$13.03
Value
—
PnL
-$8.03
Record
48%
2245-2407 (4652)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x45eb0420...7e9903
Slug
afcq-ang-ss-2026-11-14-first-half-total-1pt5