Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Under β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Angola vs. South Sudan: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Resolved Under. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
π
Won
7
Under 50%
$166.79
$24.22
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 40Β’ | $96.67 | $139.52 | +$42.85 | 49% 4123-4317 (8440) |
LI LightParadox<$100 | Underavg 33.5Β’ | $6.46 | $19.3 | +$12.84 | 37% 1085-1829 (2914) |
LI Limousin<$100 | Underavg 24Β’ | $1.8 | $7.5 | +$5.7 | 37% 1064-1806 (2870) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Overavg 1Β’ | $10 | β | -$10 | 37% 1070-1834 (2904) |
MA MadridTime<$100 | Underavg 24Β’ | $0.11 | $0.47 | +$0.36 | 38% 1094-1794 (2888) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Overavg 57Β’ | $23.87 | β | -$23.87 | 46% 2852-3388 (6240) |
LO lonmi2511CTR<$100 | Overavg 73Β’ | $3.65 | β | -$3.65 | 59% 728-499 (1227) |
Invested
$96.67
Value
$139.52
PnL
+$42.85
Record
49%
4123-4317 (8440)
Invested
$6.46
Value
$19.3
PnL
+$12.84
Record
37%
1085-1829 (2914)
Invested
$1.8
Value
$7.5
PnL
+$5.7
Record
37%
1064-1806 (2870)
Invested
$10
Value
β
PnL
-$10
Record
37%
1070-1834 (2904)
Invested
$0.11
Value
$0.47
PnL
+$0.36
Record
38%
1094-1794 (2888)
Invested
$23.87
Value
β
PnL
-$23.87
Record
46%
2852-3388 (6240)
Invested
$3.65
Value
β
PnL
-$3.65
Record
59%
728-499 (1227)