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UnderUnderUnderOverOver Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Over β but Under won instead.
Algeria vs. Togo: Algeria O/U 1.5
Resolved Under. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 40%
Total Value
$269.15
Combined PnL
$16.17
Smart Money Signal
Over
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under3 traders
Total Value$269.15
Total Shares269
Combined PnL+$171.17
Over2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares305
Combined PnL-$155
Under β 60%Over β 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LU LuckyLoo | Underavg 36Β’ | $79.41 | $220.57 | +$141.16 | 35% 520-947 (1467) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Underavg 35.3Β’ | $14.76 | $41.76 | +$27 | 47% 985-1122 (2107) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Underavg 56Β’ | $3.82 | $6.82 | +$3 | 38% 1175-1954 (3129) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Overavg 50Β’ | $145 | β | -$145 | 49% 4123-4317 (8440) |
PA pauleta23CTR<$100 | Overavg 65Β’ | $10 | β | -$10 | 41% 471-687 (1158) |
LU
LuckyLooInvested
$79.41
Value
$220.57
PnL
+$141.16
Record
35%
520-947 (1467)
SN
SnakeBall<$100Invested
$14.76
Value
$41.76
PnL
+$27
Record
47%
985-1122 (2107)
TO
topdogbigboi<$100Invested
$3.82
Value
$6.82
PnL
+$3
Record
38%
1175-1954 (3129)
FL
FlaznorpCTRInvested
$145
Value
β
PnL
-$145
Record
49%
4123-4317 (8440)
PA
pauleta23CTR<$100Invested
$10
Value
β
PnL
-$10
Record
41%
471-687 (1158)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1e6a06bb...2bbf61
Slug
afcq-alg-tog-2026-11-14-team-total-home-1pt5