Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Togo — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Togo
Spread: Algeria (-1.5)
Resolved Togo. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Togo. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Togo 88%
1 arb excluded
$3.4K
$952.04
Smart Money Signal
7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Togoavg 47.9¢ | $1.5K | $2.3K | +$786.99 | 49% 4123-4317 (8440) |
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Togoavg 65.7¢ | $875.84 | $761.74 | -$114.1 | 53% 2249-2030 (4279) |
| └ Togo leg | Togoavg 65.7¢ | $500.21 | $761.74 | +$261.53 | |
| └ Algeria leg | Algeriaavg 53.9¢ | $375.63 | — | -$375.63 | |
 RN1 | Togoavg 47¢ | $143.35 | $305 | +$161.65 | 55% 5525-4565 (10090) |
 alpheclabs2<$100 | Togoavg 62¢ | $10.34 | $16.67 | +$6.33 | 46% 316-377 (693) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Togoavg 64¢ | $5.21 | $5.33 | +$0.12 | 38% 1175-1954 (3129) |
PA pauleta23CTR<$100 | Algeriaavg 52¢ | $10 | — | -$10 | 41% 471-687 (1158) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Togoavg 49¢ | $2.55 | $5.2 | +$2.65 | 47% 985-1122 (2107) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Togoavg 71¢ | $3.55 | $5 | +$1.45 | 48% 2245-2407 (4652) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Togoavg 43¢ | $2.15 | $5 | +$2.85 | 42% 1060-1490 (2550) |
Invested
$1,478.95
Value
$2.3K
PnL
+$786.99
Record
49%
4123-4317 (8440)
Invested
$875.84
Value
$761.74
PnL
-$114.1
Record
53%
2249-2030 (4279)
Both legs:
RN1Invested
$143.35
Value
$305
PnL
+$161.65
Record
55%
5525-4565 (10090)
alpheclabs2<$100Invested
$10.34
Value
$16.67
PnL
+$6.33
Record
46%
316-377 (693)
Invested
$5.21
Value
$5.33
PnL
+$0.12
Record
38%
1175-1954 (3129)
Invested
$10
Value
—
PnL
-$10
Record
41%
471-687 (1158)
Invested
$2.55
Value
$5.2
PnL
+$2.65
Record
47%
985-1122 (2107)
Invested
$3.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.45
Record
48%
2245-2407 (4652)
Invested
$2.15
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.85
Record
42%
1060-1490 (2550)