Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
East Bengal FC vs. Al-Seeb: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Resolved Under. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Under 71%
1 arb excluded
$1.1K
$8.23
Smart Money Signal
5 of 7 top traders (71%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SN SnakeBall | Underavg 86.9¢ | $446.58 | $477.17 | +$30.59 | 50% 35607-35082 (70689) |
NE Next-Licensing | Underavg 99.9¢ | $493.37 | $493.86 | +$0.49 | 99% 2573-33 (2606) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Underavg 67.9¢ | $95.23 | $96.37 | +$1.14 | 51% 23399-22168 (45567) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 67.9¢ | $65.43 | $96.37 | +$30.94 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 13.2¢ | $29.8 | — | -$29.8 | |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Overavg 22.6¢ | $24.93 | — | -$24.93 | 45% 13648-16581 (30229) |
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Underavg 67¢ | $10.15 | $15.15 | +$5 | 49% 14107-14668 (28775) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Underavg 71¢ | $3.55 | $5 | +$1.45 | 48% 6154-6562 (12716) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Overavg 33.1¢ | $4.8 | — | -$4.8 | 56% 942-736 (1678) |
 HRTrading<$100 | Underavg 71¢ | $1.07 | $1.5 | +$0.43 | 51% 7341-7085 (14426) |
Invested
$446.58
Value
$477.17
PnL
+$30.59
Record
50%
35607-35082 (70689)
Invested
$493.37
Value
$493.86
PnL
+$0.49
Record
99%
2573-33 (2606)
Invested
$95.23
Value
$96.37
PnL
+$1.14
Record
51%
23399-22168 (45567)
Both legs:
Invested
$24.93
Value
—
PnL
-$24.93
Record
45%
13648-16581 (30229)
Invested
$10.15
Value
$15.15
PnL
+$5
Record
49%
14107-14668 (28775)
Invested
$3.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.45
Record
48%
6154-6562 (12716)
Invested
$4.8
Value
—
PnL
-$4.8
Record
56%
942-736 (1678)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$1.07
Value
$1.5
PnL
+$0.43
Record
51%
7341-7085 (14426)