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OverOverOverOverOver Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Over β but Under won instead.
Al Rayyan SC vs. Al Nahda: O/U 2.5
Resolved Under. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$832.49
Smart Money Signal
Over
5 of 5 top traders (100%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares3,082
Combined PnL-$832.49
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WI Winning2...CTR | Overavg 29Β’ | $741.59 | β | -$741.59 | 33% 1138-2310 (3448) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Overavg 12.7Β’ | $58.95 | β | -$58.95 | 50% 27765-27630 (55395) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Overavg 58.9Β’ | $30.19 | β | -$30.19 | 51% 24219-22949 (47168) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Overavg 16.7Β’ | $0.9 | β | -$0.9 | 59% 31860-22491 (54351) |
IW iWasEnoughCTR<$100 | Overavg 16.2Β’ | $0.86 | β | -$0.86 | 51% 11912-11302 (23214) |
WI
Winning2...CTRInvested
$741.59
Value
β
PnL
-$741.59
Record
33%
1138-2310 (3448)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
$58.95
Value
β
PnL
-$58.95
Record
50%
27765-27630 (55395)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$30.19
Value
β
PnL
-$30.19
Record
51%
24219-22949 (47168)
0X
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100Invested
$0.9
Value
β
PnL
-$0.9
Record
59%
31860-22491 (54351)
IW
iWasEnoughCTR<$100Invested
$0.86
Value
β
PnL
-$0.86
Record
51%
11912-11302 (23214)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x47ddef1b...a5e5e6
Slug
acl2-alr-aln-2026-11-04-total-2pt5