Known as elenaarybakin21 since Nov 11 2026 · Previously known as: elenaarybakin21 (Nov 9 – Nov 11 2026)
Consensus PnL $2.0K · win rate 40% (2–3, n=5) · PM monthly #961 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$2.0K
Record
2W / 3L
Win Rate
40.0%
of 5 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#543
Source
PM monthly #961
Record (90 d)
2/5 · 40%
Trades
21
Markets
6
Volume
$7.8K
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Specialties
3 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 44¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where elenaarybakin21's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 67%(won 100% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 33%(won 100% of 1)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.