PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x9e8eddeb4a1261ba9c7530a0386202cb6c12d006shibagegeDaWinci
Record (consensus markets)55% (58–48, n=106)49% (157–166, n=323)67% (14–7, n=21)
Consensus PnL-$1.1K$99K$33K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997Hand-pickedPM monthly #507
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (3 of 3 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicTennis −2 pts, n=77——
Settled positions, side won96% of 77 at avg 98¢, ROI 0%88% of 261 at avg 75¢, ROI +3%100% of 14 at avg 60¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)10% (won 56% of 25)7% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢0%5% (won 75% of 12)21% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢0%16% (won 86% of 43)36% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up99% (won 97% of 76)69% (won 93% of 181)36% (won 100% of 5)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.