PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FeedTheBigBird0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Rex416
Record (consensus markets)51% (30–29, n=59)46% (119–138, n=257)59% (2278–1577, n=3855)
Consensus PnL$6.5K$18.7M$36K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #904was PM monthly #715PM monthly #248
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position77% (99 of 128 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +5 pts n=186, ROI +6%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −8 pts, n=259Tennis −4 pts, n=294
Settled positions, side won97% of 29 at avg 53¢, ROI +46%50% of 1403 at avg 50¢, ROI −1%56% of 4201 at avg 56¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢0%0% (won 0% of 5)28% (won 7% of 1156)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 90% of 10)41% (won 48% of 575)12% (won 36% of 520)
Entries 50–70¢62% (won 100% of 18)58% (won 51% of 819)15% (won 61% of 611)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 100% of 1)0% (won 100% of 4)46% (won 90% of 1914)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.