PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)37% (14–24, n=38)66% (29–15, n=44)89% (47–6, n=53)
Consensus PnL-$645K$44K$65K
Tracked asPM monthly #97was PM monthly #982PM monthly #279
Sides with the consensus50% (2 of 4 open)0% (0 of 3 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won93% of 15 at avg 52¢, ROI +40%86% of 28 at avg 56¢, ROI +33%90% of 41 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 1)18% (won 40% of 5)0%
Entries 30–50¢47% (won 86% of 7)14% (won 100% of 4)22% (won 67% of 9)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 100% of 10)68% (won 100% of 28)
Entries 70¢ and up13% (won 100% of 2)32% (won 89% of 9)10% (won 75% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.